Estimated posterior probabilities of K, for simulated data sets 1, 2A, 2B, and 3 (denoted X1, X2A, X2B, and X3, respectively)
| K | log P(K|X1) | P(K|X2A) | P(K|X2B) | P(K|X3) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ~1.0 | ~0.0 | ~0.0 | ~0.0 |
| 2 | ~0.0 | 0.21 | 0.999 | ~1.0 |
| 3 | ~0.0 | 0.58 | 0.0009 | ~0.0 |
| 4 | ~0.0 | 0.21 | ~0.0 | ~0.0 |
| 5 | ~0.0 | ~0.0 | ~0.0 | ~0.0 |
The numbers should be regarded as a rough guide to which models are consistent with the data, rather than accurate estimates of posterior probabilities.