TABLE 1

Summary statistics for simulated data analyzed using different models

Linear modelExponential model
Growing
log10(r)(3.0)0.082(5)(5)0.257(5)(5)
log10(tf) +(−3.3)− 4.64−1.97−0.58−4.74−2.24−0.49
log10(2μta) +(0.0)− 0.510.270.66−0.420.381.10
Stable
log10(0.0)(−5)0.122.58
log10(tf) +a(−5)(−5)−2.06
log10(tf) +b(−0.84)(1)(1)
log10(2μta)+a−2.41−0.360.22
log10(2μta)+b0.441.292.09
Declining
log10(−2.0)− 5.00−2.411.70−5.0−1.881.53
log10 (tf) −(0.0)−1.681.74(3)−2.450.071.86
log10(2μta) −(−0.70)−5.59−0.60.8−5.86−2.723.10
  • The lower 0.9 HPD limit, mode, and upper 0.9 HPD limit for three parameters, analyzed using the linear model and exponential model. The data have been simulated from growing, stable, or declining populations, as described in the text. The symbols + and − indicate whether the summary statistics have been calculated by conditioning on positive or negative log10(r). Disjunct HPD regions are indicated by a and b. Parameter values with which the samples were simulated are given in the first column.