Genetics, Vol. 166, 597-610, January 2004, Copyright © 2004

Influence of Dominance, Leptokurtosis and Pleiotropy of Deleterious Mutations on Quantitative Genetic Variation at Mutation-Selection Balance

Xu-Sheng Zhanga, Jinliang Wangb, and William G. Hilla
a Institute of Cell, Animal and Population Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3JT, United Kingdom
b Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, United Kingdom

Corresponding author: Xu-Sheng Zhang, Animal and Population Biology, University of Edinburgh, W. Mains Rd., Edinburgh EH9 3JT, United Kingdom., xu-sheng.zhang{at}ed.ac.uk (E-mail)

Communicating editor: M. A. F. NOOR


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In models of maintenance of genetic variance (VG) it has often been assumed that mutant alleles act additively. However, experimental data show that the dominance coefficient varies among mutant alleles and those of large effect tend to be recessive. On the basis of empirical knowledge of mutations, a joint-effect model of pleiotropic and real stabilizing selection that includes dominance is constructed and analyzed. It is shown that dominance can dramatically alter the prediction of equilibrium VG. Analysis indicates that for the situations where mutations are more recessive for fitness than for a quantitative trait, as supported by the available data, the joint-effect model predicts a significantly higher VG than does an additive model. Importantly, for what seem to be realistic distributions of mutational effects (i.e., many mutants may not affect the quantitative trait substantially but are likely to affect fitness), the observed high levels of genetic variation in the quantitative trait under strong apparent stabilizing selection can be generated. This investigation supports the hypothesis that most VG comes from the alleles nearly neutral for fitness in heterozygotes while apparent stabilizing selection is contributed mainly by the alleles of large effect on the quantitative trait. Thus considerations of dominance coefficients of mutations lend further support to our previous conclusion that mutation-selection balance is a plausible mechanism of the maintenance of the genetic variance in natural populations.


GENETIC variation in quantitative traits is a ubiquitous phenomenon. As the only ultimate source of genetic variation, mutations change their carriers' values of both the metric trait and fitness. That is, mutations input fresh polygenic variance into the population and at the same time put the population under selection by decreasing their carriers' fitness to a varying extent. These conflicting effects of mutations appear to suggest small genetic variation. However, high levels of genetic variance (VG; i.e., a heritability in the range 25–50%) are observed typically in natural populations for quantitative traits, and it has usually been assumed that traits are under strong stabilizing selection, with apparent strength (Vs,t) ~20Ve (TURELLI 1984 Down; ENDLER 1986 Down; FALCONER and MACKAY 1996 Down). [However, KINGSOLVER et al. 2001 Down recently concluded that stabilizing selection might be substantially weaker than has been assumed.] Here Vs,t is expressed as the "variance" parameter of the pseudo-Gaussian fitness function, where high Vs,t implies weak selection. Although attracting much theoretical attention, the mechanism of the maintenance of the genetic variance in quantitative traits under stabilizing selection that should rapidly deplete that variance in natural populations still remains an open problem (see FALCONER and MACKAY 1996 Down, Chap. 20; BURGER 2000 Down; BARTON and KEIGHTLEY 2002 Down). In classical models it is assumed that natural selection acts either directly on the metric trait (i.e., real stabilizing selection; KIMURA 1965 Down; TURELLI 1984 Down; BURGER 2000 Down) or on the mutant genes that affect both the trait and fitness (i.e., pure pleiotropic selection; BARTON 1990 Down; KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down; KONDRASHOV and TURELLI 1992 Down). Assuming that the metric trait is not neutral and undergoes real stabilizing selection, nevertheless, a model in which pleiotropic and real stabilizing selections are combined can induce significant stabilizing selection as well as substantial genetic variance (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down). However, it still has difficulty in accounting for the observed levels of VG and Vs,t for what appear to be realistic mutational effects, e.g., many fewer genes substantially affecting the metric trait than fitness. In that model, as in most mutation-selection balance models of genetic variation, mutants were assumed to be additive.

Properties of mutations such as the distribution of their effects and degree of dominance are fundamental to many phenomena, such as the evolution of sex (CHASNOV 2000 Down; KEIGHTLEY and EYRE-WALKER 2000 Down; AGRAWAL and CHASNOV 2001 Down), the long-term response to artificial selection (ROBERTSON 1960 Down; HILL 1982A Down), the mutational load (CHARLESWORTH and CHARLESWORTH 1999 Down; WANG and HILL 1999 Down), and the maintenance of genetic variation (KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down; CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down). Although a great deal of research effort has been put into its study (SIMMONS and CROW 1977 Down; GARCIA-DORADO et al. 1999 Down; KEIGHTLEY and EYRE-WALKER 1999 Down; LYNCH et al. 1999 Down), knowledge of properties of mutations is still very limited. Nonetheless, it is widely believed that the distributions of homozygous effects of mutations are leptokurtic and highly deleterious mutations tend to be nearly recessive (SIMMONS and CROW 1977 Down; CHARLESWORTH 1979 Down; MACKAY et al. 1992 Down; CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down; GARCIA-DORADO et al. 1999 Down, GARCIA-DORADO et al. 2003 Down; LYNCH et al. 1999 Down). It is also reasonable to assume that the distribution of homozygous effects of mutations on fitness should be less leptokurtic than that on the trait (CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down; LYMAN et al. 1996 Down) because many mutants may not affect the trait under study substantially but are likely to affect fitness. In natural populations at mutation-selection balance (MSB), heterozygous mutants, which far outnumber the mutant homozygotes, are critical to maintenance of genetic variance. However, dominance coefficients of mutational effect are often assumed to be invariant, having a value of one-half (additive) in models of maintenance of quantitative genetic variation through MSB (KIMURA 1965 Down; LANDE 1976 Down; TURELLI 1984 Down; BARTON 1990 Down; KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down). The exception, to our knowledge, is the study of CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down. They reviewed the data up to then of dominance coefficients of the mutational effects on fitness components (h) and metric traits (h') from Drosophila studies and took into account the varying dominance of mutations in a purely pleiotropic model. On the basis of investigations using a set of parameters obtained from their survey, they concluded that the equilibrium variance of the metric trait is "practically independent of the dominance" (CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down, pp. 890 and 896). In a neutral model (LYNCH and HILL 1986 Down), dominance of mutations was also found to have little effect on genetic variance.

Theoretically, dominance comes as a consequence of the biochemical role played by a gene (WRIGHT 1929 Down; HALDANE 1930 Down; KACSER and BURNS 1981 Down). As KACSER and BURNS 1981 Down(p. 661) argued, "there is no inevitable identity of the effect of two alleles on the dominance index for a particular character and that for fitness, just as two pleiotropically related characters may have different dominance indices if they involve different pathways." Thus the situation where both h and h' are the same cannot be common. In fact, available experimental data suggested that h and h' are different and vary among loci (MUKAI et al. 1972 Down; SIMMONS and CROW 1977 Down; CROW and SIMMONS 1983 Down; MACKAY et al. 1992 Down; LOPEZ and LOPEZ-FANJUL 1993 Down; SANTIAGO et al. 1992 Down; LYMAN et al. 1996 Down). For pure pleiotropic selection, the genetic load incurred by mutations is independent of the dominance (HALDANE 1937 Down). This is because the frequency of a deleterious mutant gene at MSB is x {cong} u/sh if 4Nhs >> 1 and selection is much stronger than the mutation rate u (hs >> u; cf. CROW and SIMMONS 1983 Down). Assuming mutations at all the mutable loci have the same s and h, the expected mean fitness of an outbred population at equilibrium is , where {lambda} = {sum}u is the haploid genome mutation rate. For the special case of h' = 1/2 and h > 0, and all mutants having the same effect a on the trait as homozygotes, the genetic (additive) variance is approximated as VG = 2nx(1 - x) a2/4 {cong} {lambda}a2/(2hs) (cf. BARTON 1990 Down), which differs greatly from the conclusion of VG = {lambda}a2/s "for any degree of dominance" (CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down, p. 889). This indeed shows that VG is not in general independent of the dominance of mutations, and therefore it is necessary to investigate it more generally even in the pure pleiotropic model.

It is arguable that mutations that are (partially) recessive for fitness will segregate longer in the population and contribute more to the genetic variance than those that are additive. The total strength of apparent stabilizing selection may be affected little as it is determined mainly by real stabilizing selection (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down). Thus, if the assumption of invariably additive mutations is relaxed, the joint-effect model will surely give different predictions for VG and Vs,t. In this study we explore the extent to which dominance of mutations can help to account for the genetic variation maintained in a population at MSB. For convenience, the previous joint-effect model (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down) is referred to as the additive model in the rest of this article.


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Gene action and contribution of mutations:
A population of N diploid individuals, with random mating and at Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, is assumed. It is also assumed that the mutation rate per locus is so low that at most two alleles are segregating per locus. Mutations in a diploid individual are assumed to have effects on a metric trait z, with a being the difference in value between homozygotes, and pleiotropic effects on fitness, with s being the difference in fitness between homozygotes. The haploid genome mutation rate is {lambda} and the mutational variance in the quantitative trait is defined as Vm = 1/2 {lambda}E(a2). There is neither linkage nor epistasis. Linkage disequilibrium between two segregating loci may be common but is unlikely to be an important factor as long as mutations remain at low frequencies in the majority of cases. Overdominance is also ignored. Although associative overdominance on some loci will appear due to a positive correlation in homozygosity between loci, it is significant only within populations with substantial inbreeding (LYNCH and WALSH 1998 Down; CHARLESWORTH and CHARLESWORTH 1999 Down; WANG and HILL 1999 Down).

Let the frequencies of the wild-type allele (A) and the mutant allele (a) at a given locus be 1 - x and x, respectively, and so the frequencies of genotypes AA, Aa, and aa assuming Hardy-Weinberg proportions are (1 - x)2, 2x(1 - x), and x2. If the dominance coefficients of the mutational effect on the trait z and pleiotropic effect on fitness are h' and h, respectively, values for the trait z of the three genotypes are 0, ah', and a, and their pleiotropic effects on fitness are 1, 1 - sh, and 1 - s. Under the joint-effect model of pleiotropic and real stabilizing selection (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down) with weak selection (mean fitness ), the change in gene frequency resulting from one generation of selection is approximated as {Delta}x = -x(1 - x)/2 with the overall fitness effect

(1)

The genetic variance in the trait z affected by n independent loci is given as

(2)

with the additive variance, VA,i, and the dominance variance, VD,i, contributed by locus i as

(3)


(4)

(FALCONER and MACKAY 1996 Down), respectively. The strength of apparent stabilizing selection can be measured as the regression of fitness on squared deviation of the trait value (z) from the optimum () and evaluated as

(5)

(BARTON 1990 Down; KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down; ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down).

In Equation 5, the covariance of relative fitness and squared deviation, Cov(w, (z - )2), can be partitioned into two parts: that due to real stabilizing selection, VG2/2Vs,r, and that due to the pleiotropic effect on fitness, Covp, where

(6)

The variance of squared deviations can be decomposed as with the fourth moment under selection,

(7)

In the above expressions is the mean effect on the trait and is the mean pleiotropic effect on fitness of locus i.

Distributions of homozygous effects and dominance coefficients of new mutations:
Although fine-scale information is still lacking, empirical data (MACKAY et al. 1992 Down; KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down; LYMAN et al. 1996 Down; GARCIA-DORADO et al. 1999 Down; GARCIA-DORADO and CABALLERO 2000 Down; CHAVARRIAS et al. 2001 Down; HAYES and GODDARD 2001 Down; MACKAY 2001 Down) indicate that the distributions of effects of new mutations on both fitness and the metric trait are leptokurtic, and mutational effects on the trait are more leptokurtic than their pleiotropic effects are on fitness. As in previous studies (KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down; ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down), the distribution of mutational effects on the metric trait is assumed to be symmetrical about a = 0, and only deleterious mutations on fitness are assumed to occur, in accord with the classical view (FALCONER and MACKAY 1996 Down). The effects of mutations, |a| and s, were sampled from a gamma distribution or a function thereof: the "squared gamma distribution" and the "square-root gamma distribution," where, respectively, and s2, for example, have a gamma distribution (cf. ZHANG et al. 2002 Down). Note that the reflected square-root gamma (1/2) distribution is the normal (Gaussian) distribution. Here variants of the gamma distribution are employed to show that different distributions that possess the same variance and kurtosis can induce quite different predictions of VG (see results below).

Dominance coefficients of new mutations are assumed to be either constant or variable across loci. Analyses of available experimental data suggest that dominance coefficients decrease with the size of homozygous mutational effects (MUKAI et al. 1965 Down; SIMMONS and CROW 1977 Down; CHARLESWORTH 1979 Down; LOPEZ and LOPEZ-FANJUL 1993 Down), and the mean dominance coefficient is distributed approximately as (CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down; DENG et al. 2002 Down), which is in rough accord with the few available data (MACKAY et al. 1992 Down; GARCIA-DORADO and CABALLERO 2000 Down). As did CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down, we assume dominance coefficients for the pleiotropic effect on fitness are uniformly distributed in the range 0 < h < exp(-Ks), where the constant K is determined so that for a given distribution of s, the average dominance coefficient is . For example, if s follows a gamma (ß2) distribution with mean P, then . Similarly, h' is assumed to be uniformly distributed in the range 0 < h' < exp(-K'|a|). Further it is assumed that h <= h' if the degree of dominance varies, as h and h' may be correlated (CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down). In this study, the following methods are used to compute VG and Vs,t, as mutual checks.

Single-locus Monte Carlo simulation:
Although apparent stabilizing selection experienced by the trait acts on the alleles at all segregating loci, the above analysis shows that its strength can be computed by summing the impact of each locus separately. Using the above basic expressions, we can simulate the process for each segregating mutant until its fixation in or loss from a population. For each new mutant with properties (a, h', s, h) sampled from a quadrivariate distribution P(a, h', s, h) as described above, its initial frequency x0 is set to 1/(2N), where N is the actual size of the population. We then calculate Equation 1Equation 2Equation 3Equation 4Equation 5 HREF="#FD6">Equation 6Equation 7. In the next generation, the expected mutant frequency is given by x1 = x0 + {Delta}x and the actual frequency is sampled from a binomial distribution with mean x1 (PRESS et al. 1989 Down). Equation 1Equation 2Equation 3Equation 4Equation 5 HREF="#FD6">Equation 6Equation 7 are recalculated and values of VA, VD, m4, and Covp are added to those of the previous generation to compute the lifetime contributions. The process continues until the actual frequency or its expectation reaches the bound 0 or 1. A large number of mutants (e.g., 108) were sampled and the averages of all those quantities were taken and then multiplied by 2{lambda}N (the expected number of new mutations each generation) to obtain expected values of VG, VD, m4, Covp, and Vs,t at the steady state of accumulation and loss of mutations.

Individual-based Monte Carlo simulation:
As a check for the above single-locus simulation, a multiple-locus and individual-based simulation procedure, modified from KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1983 Down, KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1988 Down, was used. The population was started from an isogenic state and allowed to reach equilibrium by ignoring the first 6N generations. Each generation the sequence of operations was mutation, selection, mating, and reproduction. The fitness of individual i was assigned as where is the value of the trait and , the population mean of the trait, approximates the optimum. If 0 < wi <= 1, then the chance that individual i was chosen as a parent of the next generation was proportional to wi; if wi <= 0, it had no offspring. It should be noted that the population generated by this scheme of selection maintains mean fitness around a constant value from generation to generation, comparable with HALDANE's (1937) law, i.e., exp(-2{lambda}) for large populations, whereas in the model of KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1983 Down, KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1988 Down mean fitness always keeps falling. For each generation of the equilibrium population, VG, VG2, and Cov(w, (z - )2) were computed and averaged to estimate their means.

Diffusion approximations:
KIMURA'S 1969 Down diffusion theory was applied under the infinite independent loci model. Assuming no epistasis, the density function of the stationary distribution of allele frequency at MSB, {phi}(x), is given by Equation 37 of KIMURA 1969 Down. In contrast to KIMURA 1969 Down, here the overall selective coefficient of a mutant depends on its frequency, dominance coefficients, the trait effect, and the pleiotropic effect on fitness (see Equation 1). The expectation If of an arbitrary function f(x) with respect to the equilibrium distribution {phi}(x) was obtained by integration of Equation 18 of KIMURA 1969 Down. As in CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down, mutational effects were sampled from P(a, h', s, h), and the equilibrium value of f(x) assuming no overdominance was obtained by integration of

(8)

Monte Carlo integration was used to compute Equation 8.


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If the population size is large and mutations are not completely recessive or neutral (i.e., hs > 0 or h' |a| > 0) such that 2NE() >> 1, mutant frequencies then remain very low and items of O(x3) or higher in Equation 1, Equation 3, Equation 6, and Equation 7 can be ignored, reducing to

(9)


(10)


(11)


(12)

With this rare allele assumption, only the heterozygous effects of mutants, hs and h'a, are relevant to the genetic processes that control the equilibrium genetic variance. If 2NE() >> 1, diffusion theory shows that the asymptotic expectations of the functions 2x(1 - x) and 2x(1 - x)(1 - 2x) approach 4{lambda}/ (KIMURA 1969 Down; ZHANG et al. 2002 Down). Thus the genetic variance VG, the covariance of relative fitness and squared deviation due to pleiotropic effect Covp, and the fourth moment under selection m4 can be calculated through expression (8) using If = 4{lambda}Vs,r[(2h'a)2/4Vs,r]/, If = 4{lambda}Vs,r(2hs/2)[(2h'a)2/4Vs,r]/ and If = 4{lambda}[(2h'a)4/16]/, respectively. These quantities are evaluated by Monte Carlo integration (e.g., KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down). Compared with the additive model (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down), all else being the same, the equilibrium genetic variance VG decreases if h > h' and increases if h < h', as expected intuitively. In fact, the strength of apparent stabilizing selection can be simplified as

(13)

or

(14)

(cf. ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down, Appendix A), where the strength of apparent stabilizing selection due to pleiotropic effects is

(15)

Since Covp < (2h')2VM (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down), Vs,p > V2G/(2h')2VM, suggesting that whenever the genetic variance is close to the observed levels, the stabilizing selection due to pleiotropic effects of mutations is quite weak, in agreement with the pure pleiotropic model (BARTON 1990 Down; ZHANG et al. 2002 Down). As the asymptotic expectation of [x(1 - x)]2 vanishes when N -> {infty} (KIMURA 1969 Down), the dominance variance vanishes due to the fact that almost all segregating mutant alleles are in heterozygotes. Thus additive variance comprises most of VG within a large population.

If dominance coefficients are constant across loci, algebraic expressions for VG and Vs,t can be obtained for some distributions of mutational effects (cf. Table 1 of ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down). For instance, if the squared effect on the trait (a2) and the pleiotropic effect on fitness (s) of mutations follow independent gamma (ß1) and gamma (ß2 = 1 - ß1) distributions, respectively, then

(16)

(see Appendix). In Equation 16 and 17 {theta} {equiv} (2hp/ ß2)/((2h')2r1), p denotes the mean homozygous pleiotropic effect on fitness, and (4{lambda}Vs,r) represents the mean selection coefficient arising from real stabilizing selection on homozygous mutational effects on the trait. If the two dominance coefficients h and h' are the same, the genetic variance VG increases with dominance coefficients whereas Vs,t decreases. However, if all mutations are additive for the trait (i.e., h' = 0.5), both VG and Vs,t increase as h decreases, and at the extreme situation of h = 0, the house-of-cards approximations hold: Vs,t = Vs,r and VG = 4{lambda}Vs,r (TURELLI 1984 Down). This shows that even though pleiotropic effects on the carriers of the mutations when homozygous occur in principle, the population experiences little pleiotropic selection as real stabilizing selection is effective in keeping recessive mutants rare and thus heterozygous. In the other extreme case where pleiotropic effects on fitness follow the geometric distribution (HILL 1982B Down; i.e., ß2 -> 0), Equation 16 and 17 also return to the house-of-cards approximations, reflecting the fact that most mutants have little effect on fitness. It should be noted that varying dominance coefficients across loci as described above increases the predictions of VG and Vs,t, especially for more recessive mutants for fitness (cf. Table 1 and Fig 3 below).



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Figure 1. Equilibrium genetic (VG) (a) and dominance variance (VD) (b) and the strength of apparent stabilizing selection (Vs,t) (c), plotted against population size (N) for mutational effects of variable dominance coefficients with means and . Mutational effects on both the trait and fitness are independent, homozygous pleiotropic effects on fitness follow a gamma (0.125) distribution (kurtosis = 47.2), and homozygous effects on the trait a reflected gamma (0.0846) distribution (kurtosis = 70). Typical estimates of mutation and selection parameters are assumed: the mutation rate {lambda} = 0.1 per haploid genome per generation, mean pleiotropic effect on fitness , mutational variance Vm = 10-3VE, and real stabilizing selection of strength Vs,r = 20VE. Single-locus simulation results (triangle) are obtained by averaging over 108 mutation events, and individual-based simulations (circles) are obtained assuming 103 mutable loci and averaging over 103 equilibrium generations. Diffusion results (diamond) are obtained by Monte Carlo integration over 105 samples; the curves are the solid lines through the diffusion data. The dash at the end of curves represents the infinite population approximation, which is approached on the diffusion results (e.g., VG = 0.9VE for N = 1013). The dashed curves are obtained by diffusion approximation for a and s following independent reflected gamma (0.196) and gamma (0.25) distributions, respectively.



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Figure 2. Influence of dominance coefficients of mutations on the genetic variance (a) and the strength of apparent stabilizing selection (b). Dominance coefficients for fitness and for the trait are assumed to be the same and constant across loci. Mutational effects on the trait follow a reflected gamma (0.091) distribution (kurtosis = 65), while pleiotropic effects of mutations are distributed as gamma (1/6), gamma (1/4), or gamma (1/2) with kurtosis 35.3, 23.4, 11.7, respectively. Other parameters of mutation and selection are as in Fig 1 (i.e., {lambda} = 0.1, Vm = 10-3VE, , and Vs,r = 20VE).



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Figure 3. Influence of dominance coefficients of mutations on the genetic variance (a and c) and the strength of apparent stabilizing selection (b and d). The distributions of homozygous mutational effects are assumed to be reflected squared exponential for a and gamma (1/2) for s. The x-axis is the average dominance coefficient for pleiotropic effects of mutations on fitness. (a and b) Results are shown assuming infinite population size for three genome-wide mutation rates. Dotted curves are results for constant dominance coefficients (i.e., , and h' = 0.5); solid thick curves are for variable dominance coefficients as described in the text with means and ; and solid thin curves are for variable dominance coefficients with means and and mutation rate {lambda} = 0.1. Other parameters of mutation and selection are as in Fig 1 (i.e., Vm = 10-3VE, , and Vs,r = 20VE). (c and d) Comparison of results between infinite populations (solid curves) and finite populations of N = 106, 105, and 104 (solid thin, dashed, and dotted curves, respectively, obtained by single-locus Monte Carlo simulation) for .


 
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Table 1. Influence of leptokurtosis and dominance of mutations on VG and Vs,t


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Monte Carlo simulation methods are employed to illustrate the dependence of both VG and Vs,t on the population size, to verify the above analytical approximations in a large population when 2NE() >> 1 and, using single-locus simulation, to show how the dependence of VG on the degree of dominance of genes is affected by population size. For other cases, diffusion approximations are used to save computation time. Our aim is to display quantitatively what differences the variable dominance and the exact shape of distributions of mutational effects cause to the predictions of VG and Vs,t.

Dependence of VG and Vs,t on the population size:
As natural populations may not be sufficiently large and the distribution of mutational effects is highly leptokurtic such that 2NE() >> 1 may not hold for some mutant genes, it is relevant to investigate the influence of N on the predictions of VG, VD, and Vs,t. Diffusion approximations with single-locus and individual-based Monte Carlo simulation results are shown in Fig 1, where the results from different methods are in good agreement. As the population size N increases, VG and Vs,t increase and approach asymptotic values predicted by analytical approximations, while VD increases to a peak and then decreases and vanishes, although larger population sizes are required to approach infinite approximations when mutational effects become more leptokurtic. The trend of dependence of VG and Vs,t on N is similar to that for the additive model (Fig 4 of ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down); but, as expected, it is quite different from that of the purely pleiotropic model (cf. Fig 4 of CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down). In the following, except where stated otherwise, we consider large populations such that 2NE() >> 1 holds and thus analytical approximations apply.



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Figure 4. Influence of the correlation between the absolute value of mutational effects on the trait and the pleiotropic effect on fitness on VG (a) and Vs,t (b). Two different distributions for a and s are considered: a Wishart distribution (dashed curves) and a bivariate gamma distribution with marginal gamma (0.0847) distribution for |a| and marginal gamma (0.125) distribution for s. Mutational effects on the trait are additive while dominance coefficients for the pleiotropic effect on fitness are 0.5 and 0.1, shown beside the curves. Only constant dominance coefficients are considered. Other parameters of mutation and selection are as in Fig 1 (i.e., {lambda} = 0.1, Vm = 10-3VE, , and Vs,r = 20VE).

Influence of dominance on VG and Vs,t:
This is shown in the following three different situations.

Dominance coefficients equal and constant: Consider the situation where dominance coefficients for the pleiotropic effect on fitness and for the trait are the same, i.e., h = h', and remain constant across loci. The results in Fig 2 show that the genetic variance VG increases with the dominance coefficients, but that the increase in VG is not large, in agreement with the prediction of CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down. The value of Vs,t decreases as the degree of dominance of mutants increases; i.e., the apparent stabilizing selection becomes stronger, but more slowly so as the kurtosis of s increases. The results indicate that with dominant mutations, only a slightly higher VG is maintained under relatively strong apparent stabilizing selection, compared to additive mutant genes.

Dominance coefficients different and constant: Results are shown in Fig 3, a and b (dotted curves), for the case where mutant genes are assumed to be additive for the trait (h' = 0.5). Both VG and Vs,t decrease with increasing degree of dominance of the pleiotropic effect (h). Intuitively, this is because, with increasing h, selection becomes more effective in removing mutant genes from the population, thus reducing mutant frequencies. As the rate of mutation decreases, real stabilizing selection becomes significant in relation to pleiotropic selection (cf. Fig 3 of ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down) and VG becomes nearly independent of h over a larger range. With an increasing rate of mutation, however, real stabilizing selection becomes weak and VG becomes increasingly affected by h. Thus high levels of VG can be maintained and apparent stabilizing selection is due mainly to real stabilizing selection, as mutants for pleiotropic effect on fitness become more recessive.

Variable dominance coefficients: For the case where dominance coefficients h and h' vary across loci as described in MODEL AND METHODS, the results are shown in Fig 3, a and b (solid curves), and Table 1. Comparison with constant dominance coefficients (dotted curves, fixing h at and h' at 0.5) displays that, all else being the same, varying dominance coefficients increases VG and Vs,t (i.e., reduces apparent stabilizing selection). This is due to the assumption that the dominance coefficients are inversely correlated with mutational effects so that the heterozygous effects of mutations on fitness (hs) always remain small, resulting in a relatively weak selection. Moreover, all mutant genes become mildly deleterious when heterozygous and thus segregate for a long time in the population and reach higher frequencies, so that the genetic variance increases. Dominance variance appears as h' fluctuates around the mean 0.5, but the value of VD is very small, <1% of VG. Given , VG increases rapidly and approaches the house-of-cards approximation VG = 4{lambda}Vs,r (TURELLI 1984 Down) as reduces to nil. Consider typical estimates of parameters , and (LYNCH et al. 1999 Down; GARCIA-DORADO and CABALLERO 2000 Down; CARR and DUDASH 2003 Down; GARCIA-DORADO et al. 2003 Down) with a and s following a reflected gamma (0.0847) and gamma (1/2) distributions, respectively. Variable dominance coefficients result in VG = 1.89VE, over 15 times that for the additive model (0.12VE) (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down), while the strength of apparent stabilizing selection is reduced by only 50% (from 12.1VE to 19.9VE, see Table 1). However, as increases and exceeds 0.3, VG and Vs,t become roughly independent of , which partly reflects the constraint h <= h' used in the calculations.

If mutations for the trait are exclusively additive, a negligible increase in VG and a slight increase in Vs,t occur, compared to the above where h' varies. Further, removing the constraint h <= h' = 0.5 on variable dominance coefficients results in a minor decrease in Vs,t and a slight decrease in VG. If ' < 0.5, all else being the same, the prediction of VG is smaller and that of Vs,t is larger than those for . However, such changes in VG and Vs,t due to a decrease in ' are not large if the deviation of ' from 0.5 is small (cf. CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down). For example, with , the decrease in VG is <10% when and shrinks rapidly as becomes smaller, while the increase in Vs,t is <1% (see Fig 3, a and b).

Impact of distributions of mutational effects on VG and Vs,t:
The results listed in Table 1 show that under the constraint k4(a) > k4(s), even the additive model can generate abundant genetic variance with highly leptokurtic mutational effects. Here values of the kurtosis k4(a) {equiv} E(a4)/E(a2)2 and k4(s) {equiv} E(s4)/E(s2)2 are intended to describe the shape of distributions of mutational effects. If mutational effects on the trait follow a reflected squared exponential distribution with kurtosis k4(a) = 70, for example, VG can increase dramatically from 0.19 to 0.69 when the distribution of pleiotropic effects changes from gamma (1/2) to gamma (1/4). Data in Table 1 further show how different assumptions for distributions of mutational effects change the predictions of VG and Vs,t. The three distributions of mutational effects on the trait, reflected square-root gamma (0.0145), reflected gamma (0.0847), and reflected squared exponential, for example, have the same kurtosis k4(a) = 70. However, they give very different predicted values of VG, 0.22, 0.38, and 0.69 when h = 0.5, and 3.67, 4.70, and 5.79 when , if the pleiotropic effects on fitness are assumed to have a gamma (1/4) distribution. The change in Vs,t is comparatively small, however. This implies that the assumption of the squared gamma distribution actually allows more mutants of large effect on the trait than do the other two distributions, and different distributions of a give different predictions of VG. Therefore, a description of the distribution solely in terms of kurtosis is not sufficient.

If the population size is not sufficiently large to retain 2NE() >> 1 for most genes, predictions of the genetic variance maintained, which are calculated using formulas for infinite population size, blow up. Considering a population size of 105, the predicted value of VG is the same as or slightly smaller than the infinite approximation if constant dominance coefficients are assumed (Fig 2 and Table 1). For the variable dominance case, the predicted value of VG decreases rapidly as is reduced, but that of Vs,t remains roughly the same (see Fig 3C and Fig D, and Table 1). For a population of this size, the increase in VG relative to the additive case, >60% for and >90% for , is substantial (see Table 1), and the dependence of VG on dominance still holds, although it is somewhat weaker (see also Fig 3C). Results in Fig 3C and Table 1 for finite population sizes show that for typical estimates of mutation and selection parameters, wherever k4(s) < k4(a) < 10k4(s), variable dominance coefficients increase the prediction of VG to the levels observed in natural populations.

Impact of the correlation between |a| and s on VG and Vs,t:
It is biologically plausible that mutational effects on the trait and fitness are correlated (see KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down). If the marginal distributions of a and s have quite different degrees of kurtosis, effects of mutations on the trait and on fitness can be only partially correlated (WHITTAKER 1974 Down). For a fitness-related trait such as life history, the difference between k4(a) and k4(s) is likely to be smaller than that for a trait less directly related to fitness, e.g., morphology. Fig 4 shows the influence of the correlation coefficient, between |a| and s on both VG and Vs,t. As h decreases or the difference between k4(a) and k4(s) increases, the impact of the correlation on VG becomes large while its impact on Vs,t becomes small. However, it can still be concluded, as in the additive model (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down), that if the correlation between |a| and s is at most intermediate, its influence on VG and Vs,t is not large.


*  DISCUSSION
*TOP
*ABSTRACT
*MODEL AND METHODS
*ANALYTIC APPROXIMATIONS FOR...
*NUMERICAL RESULTS
*DISCUSSION
*APPENDIX
*LITERATURE CITED

Predictions of genetic variance (VG) and strength of apparent stabilizing selection (Vs,t) at mutation-selection balance depend not only on the mean and variance of mutational effects but also on the exact shapes of their distributions. The additive version of the joint-effect model of continuously varying mutational effects (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down) can induce a significant amount of stabilizing selection as well as a substantial genetic variance when the distribution of pleiotropic fitness effects is more leptokurtic than that of effects on a trait. It is intuitively plausible, however, that most mutations affect fitness in one way or another, but many fewer may affect a particular metric trait (especially when it is not closely related to fitness). This suggests that genome-wide mutations must have a much more leptokurtic distribution of their effects on a metric trait than on fitness. Extending the additive model (ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down) by including dominance of mutations, we show that when mutations are much more recessive for fitness than for a metric trait of interest, high levels of genetic variance under strong stabilizing selection can be maintained under realistic assumptions for mutations.

Most mutants of sufficiently large effect that their degree of dominance can be estimated are recessive or nearly so for fitness (FISHER 1928 Down; MULLER 1950 Down; LYNCH and WALSH 1998 Down), as is expected under certain metabolic models (KACSER and BURNS 1981 Down; KEIGHTLEY 1996 Down). Further, experimental data have shown that dominance coefficients of mutant alleles vary among loci as do their effects, and highly deleterious mutations tend to be nearly recessive (MUKAI et al. 1972 Down; SIMMONS and CROW 1977 Down; CHARLESWORTH 1979 Down; CROW and SIMMONS 1983 Down; MACKAY et al. 1992 Down; CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down). Considerations of (partially) recessive mutations have lent support to the explanations for many phenomena, such as Haldane's rule that when only one sex in a cross-species hybrid is sterile, it is usually the heterogametic sex (TURELLI and ORR 1995 Down), the bottleneck effect on genetic variance (WANG et al. 1998 Down), and maintenance of sex (CHASNOV 2000 Down; AGRAWAL and CHASNOV 2001 Down). However, dominance has usually been ignored in models of genetic variation (KIMURA 1965 Down; LANDE 1976 Down; TURELLI 1984 Down; BARTON 1990 Down; KEIGHTLEY and HILL 1990 Down). A simple analysis in the pure pleiotropic model confirms that VG indeed depends on the dominance coefficient. Detailed analysis of the joint-effect model of real stabilizing selection and pleiotropic selection also indicates that dominance of mutants can substantially affect predictions of VG and Vs,t, depending particularly on their relative degree of dominance on the metric trait and on the pleiotropic effect on fitness. In particular, mutants that are much more recessive for the pleiotropic fitness effect produce higher levels of VG, while their influences become small if values of h and h' are the same or quite similar (see Fig 2 and Fig 3; cf. CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down).

As is the case for measurements of other important parameters of mutation (e.g., mutation rate and effect), estimates of dominance coefficients are imprecise (LYNCH et al. 1999 Down; GARCIA-DORADO et al. 2003 Down) and may differ dramatically between segregating and new mutations (LYNCH and WALSH 1998 Down; VASSILIEVA et al. 2000 Down; CHAVARRIAS et al. 2001 Down). In a recent review, GARCÍA-DORADO et al. (2003) suggest a mean dominance coefficient of the order of 0.2 for new mutations from published estimates of mean dominance coefficients of mutations on viability and other life-history traits in D. melanogaster and C. elegans. Although viability and other life-history traits are certainly related to overall fitness in one way or another, the relationship between them is obviously neither simple nor direct. In theory, effects of mutant genes should be more recessive on overall fitness than on its components (KACSER and BURNS 1981 Down; DEAN et al. 1989 Down). It is thus likely that the mean dominance coefficient for overall fitness is <0.2 and probably ~0.1 (SIMMONS and CROW 1977 Down; HOULE et al. 1997 Down; LYNCH and WALSH 1998 Down; GARCIA-DORADO and CABALLERO 2000 Down; VASSILIEVA et al. 2000 Down; CARR and DUDASH 2003 Down; FRY and NUZHDIN 2003 Down; PETERS et al. 2003 Down).

The available data from P-element insertions (MACKAY et al. 1992 Down; LYMAN et al. 1996 Down) suggest that the dominance coefficient for fitness is less than that for the metric trait. Although P-element insertions are different from spontaneous mutations in many aspects, there is good reason to believe that properties of P-element insertions to some extent resemble those of naturally occurring mutations (LYMAN et al. 1996 Down). Furthermore, FRY and NUZHDIN 2003 Down found that transposable element insertions have greater average dominance in their viability effects than do point mutations due to a direct effect of heterozygous transposable element expression on fitness, suggesting that spontaneous mutations should have smaller dominance than transposable element insertions. Available data are rare, but the survey by CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down suggests a relationship between dominance coefficients of mutants with extreme effects on fitness and on the bristle trait in Drosophila, h {cong} 0.4 h'. Metabolic control theory suggests that, in the absence of saturation and feedback or other nonlinearities, traits should have the same degree of dominance (KEIGHTLEY and KACSER 1987 Down), but those assumptions seem too simplistic if overall fitness is one of the traits (KACSER and BURNS 1981 Down). For a quantitative trait that is not closely related with fitness, mutational effects on it are likely to be directly associated with the mutants and thus can be expressed directly and more or less additively. For fitness the expression of mutational effects relies on more complicated and indirect multiple pathways and thus appears to be more recessive. These data and reasoning, albeit inconclusive, seem to suggest that mean dominance coefficients of the order ~ 0.1 and ' ~ 0.5 are likely for new mutations in natural populations, but more experimental work is required. Treating h as a constant or as varying randomly in the range [0, exp(-Ks)] with mean (CABALLERO and KEIGHTLEY 1994 Down) gives rise to different predictions of VG and Vs,t. Varying h increases VG and Vs,t, and the present model can still produce high levels of genetic variance even for ~ 0.2 and ' ~ 0.4 (see Table 1 and Fig 3).

The degree of leptokurtosis of pleiotropic effects of mutations can also affect the predicted value of VG (see Table 1). Recessivity reduces the effective value of the pleiotropic effect on fitness (i.e., hs) while its leptokurtosis increases the fraction of nearly neutral mutant genes, and both reduce pleiotropic selection and generate large VG and Vs,t. Whenever VG is up to the observed levels, apparent stabilizing selection is determined mainly by real stabilizing selection (i.e., Vs,t ~ Vs,r; see Table 1). Given the variance and the kurtosis of the distribution of a, reducing the actual fraction of nearly neutral mutants for the trait can, however, also significantly increase the prediction of VG but slightly increase Vs,t. All those observations confirm the conclusion that most VG produced in the joint-effect model comes from the alleles that are nearly neutral for fitness in heterozygotes and most Vs,t is contributed by the alleles that have large effects on the trait (BARTON 1990 Down; ZHANG and HILL 2002 Down).

The assumptions of highly leptokurtic distributions of homozygous effects and of the inverse relationship between the degree of dominance and homozygous effects imply that a large fraction of deleterious mutations have very small effects, such that there is very weak selection against most newly arising mutations. For the infinite approximation for VG to hold (see Fig 1), it requires a very large population, but this is not the case for some natural populations, especially of large vertebrates. The present model, however, shows that VG still depends on dominance for reasonable population sizes (e.g., 104, 105), albeit more weakly so, and predicts a high equilibrium genetic variance (see Fig 1 and Fig 3C and Table 1).

One check of the joint-effect model of genetic variation presented here is whether the random-mating population at MSB can survive the inbreeding depression due to an alteration of mating system, for example, full-sib mating. Inbreeding results in an increase in homozygosity and in the fixation probability of deleterious mutants, leading to increased mutational load, decreased fitness, and thus a potentially higher risk of extinction of the population (FALCONER and MACKAY 1996 Down). Assuming the dominance coefficient of mutations for the pleiotropic effect on fitness is h < 0.5 across loci while mutations are additive for the metric trait, the decrease in fitness at homozygosity due to a mutant of frequency x is (1 - 2h)sx(1 - x) + a2x(1 - x)/4Vs,r (cf. LYNCH and WALSH 1998 Down, Chap. 10). Using KIMURA's (1969) diffusion approximation of heterozygosity for 2NE() >> 1, the inbreeding load measured by the effective number of lethal equivalents is <(1 - 2h){lambda}/h + VG/2Vs,r (cf. CHARLESWORTH and CHARLESWORTH 1999 Down). For typical estimates of mutation and selection parameters (i.e., {lambda} = 0.1, h = 0.1, and Vs,r = 20VE), the inbreeding load is thus ~0.81. As the effects of mutations are highly leptokurtic, the inbreeding load is likely to be smaller than this. For example, if mutational effects a and s follow reflected gamma (0.0847) and gamma (0.125) distributions, respectively, the inbreeding load is 0.52 in a population of size 105. These predictions are in the range of empirical data (LYNCH and WALSH 1998 Down, Chap. 10) and our model is thus robust to inbreeding depression. Another important test of the joint-effect model presented here is to compare observed and predicted changes in VG with partial inbreeding. Our preliminary analysis shows that with the typical estimates of mutation and selection parameters assumed here, partial inbreeding leads to an increase in VG for traits closely related to fitness and a decrease for others. Those results are in agreement with the empirical data (GARCIA et al. 1994 Down; FERNANDEZ et al. 1995 Down; WHITLOCK and FOWLER 1999 Down). The model could be further tested by predicting the pattern of response to multiple generations of artificial selection for quantitative traits in laboratory populations derived from natural populations, in particular the duration of response and the variability among replicate selection lines. Predictions could be compared to the results