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A Penalized Likelihood Method for Mapping Epistatic Quantitative Trait Loci With One-Dimensional Genome Searches
Martin P. Boera, Cajo J. F. ter Braaka, and Ritsert C. Jansenba Biometris, 6700 AC Wageningen, The Netherlands
b Groningen Bioinformatics Centre, University of Groningen, 9700 AV Groningen, The Netherlands
Corresponding author: Martin P. Boer, Bornsesteeg 47, PO Box 100, 6700 AC Wageningen, The Netherlands., m.p.boer{at}plant.wag-ur.nl (E-mail)
Communicating editor: P. D. KEIGHTLEY
| ABSTRACT |
|---|
Epistasis is a common and important phenomenon, as indicated by results from a number of recent experiments. Unfortunately, the discovery of epistatic quantitative trait loci (QTL) is difficult since one must search for multiple QTL simultaneously in two or more dimensions. Such a multidimensional search necessitates many statistical tests, and a high statistical threshold must be adopted to avoid false positives. Furthermore, the large number of (interaction) parameters in comparison with the number of observations results in a serious danger of overfitting and overinterpretation of the data. In this article we present a new statistical framework for mapping epistasis in inbred line crosses. It is based on reducing the high dimensionality of the problem in two ways. First, epistatic QTL are mapped in a one-dimensional genome scan for high interactions between QTL and the genetic background. Second, the dimension of the search is bounded by penalized likelihood methods. We use simulated backcross data to illustrate the new approach.
EPISTASIS is a common and important phenomenon, as indicated by results from an increasing number of recent experiments [see, for example, ![]()
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This article presents a one-dimensional search approach for detecting interacting QTL in single populations, which we call EpiMQM (epistatic multiple QTL mapping), an extension of MQM (![]()
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| METHODOLOGY |
|---|
We describe the EpiMQM method for inbred line crosses. Without loss of generality, we here describe our approach for the case of a backcross population. The EpiMQM method consists of two steps, quite similar to standard MQM mapping. In the first step of EpiMQM, we use penalized multiple regression of the trait on the main effects of all the markers. The model is found by optimizing a certain criterion that we describe later in this section. In the second step, a one-dimensional genome search for QTL is done. This search combines interval mapping (IM; ![]()
Step 1 of EpiMQM: penalized regression on the markers:
Let n denote the number of individuals. The number of markers is denoted by m. The linear model for the ith individual in a backcross population is given by

where yi denotes the trait value of the ith individual, µ is the mean of the population,
j is the substitution effect for the jth marker, and
i
N(0,
2) is the residual error for individual i. The variable xij indicates the genotype of marker j of individual i. If the marker is homozygous (heterozygous), then xij = 1/2 (xij = -1/2). At first we assume that all markers are completely informative. Later in this section we show how the method can easily be extended to the case with missing data. In vector notation, the above model can be written as Y = Xß +
, where

In standard multiple regression, the estimators of
j are not restricted; i.e., it is implicitly assumed that quite large values of
j are not unreasonable. Penalized regression can be regarded as an approach for estimating ß from the data, subject to the belief that smaller values of the parameters
j are more likely than larger values. For this reason it is assumed here that the parameters
j are outcomes of m independent draws from normal priors; i.e.,
j
N(0,
2
j), where the parameter
2
j indirectly puts a penalty on larger values of the parameter
j (![]()
![]()
![]()
, while
implies that
j = 0 (j = 1, 2, ... , m). In Bayesian terms, the parameters
j are shrunk toward a prior mean of zero. The penalized likelihood is given by
![]() |
(1) |
where
(x,
2) is the probability density function of the normal distribution with mean x and variance
2. Note that the penalized likelihood approach can be regarded as a special case of a mixed model, where Equation 1 is the joint probability density of the responses and the unobserved random effects. Maximization of Equation 1 gives, taking

where Q is a (m + 1) x (m + 1) diagonal matrix: Q = diag(0,
1,
2, ... ,
m). In this first step of the EpiMQM method we assume that the penalties
j are all equal to
. In this form, with Q = diag(0,
,
, ... ,
), the method is known as ridge regression (e.g., ![]()
![]()
is positive, which implies that the estimators
and
2 are unique, even if the matrix XTX is singular. In contrast with standard regression, the dimension of the model is not equal to the number of free parameters. The effective dimension, denoted by deff, can be defined by

as described by ![]()
![]()
= 0 and XTX is nonsingular. For
, the estimators of all parameters, except for the mean µ, will be equal to zero, and thus deff = 1. Fig 1A shows the effective dimension as a function of the parameter
for a simulated backcross example (see SIMULATIONS for further details). ![]()
2,

|
In this article we use the unbiased estimator instead of the maximum-likelihood estimator.
If there are missing marker scores, the parameters can be estimated via the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm (![]()
![]()
![]()
- Expectation step: Specify or update the weight matrix W, which is a diagonal matrix of conditional probabilities P(genotype|yi, ß,
2). - Maximization step: Update estimates of ß and
2, 
where X denotes here the augmented design matrix and Y denotes the vector with the augmented trait data (
JANSEN 2001 ).
These two steps are iterated until convergence to a stationary point of the likelihood. In the final step we use the unbiased estimator for
2; i.e., we divide by n - deff instead of n, where deff is defined by deff = trace ((XTWX + Q)-1 XTWX).
The extra penalty parameter
introduces a new problem: What is the optimal choice for the value of
? For the main effects of the markers we use the Bayesian information criterion (BIC; ![]()

where
= ln n and Lmax is the maximum likelihood. Note that both Lmax and deff depend on the penalty parameter. The optimal penalty is found by minimizing the BIC. The effective dimension at the minimum of the BIC is denoted by dmain, since it gives an approximation of the dimension of the model with only main effects. Fig 1B shows the BIC as a function of the parameter
for simulation example I (see SIMULATIONS). For this example, the BIC has a minimum at
187, with effective dimension dmain
5.8. Akaike's information criterion (AIC) tends to select more complex models (and thus lower values for
), since
= 2 for AIC. ![]()
= 6 for the selection of marker cofactors in MQM mapping, i.e., a more stringent penalty for the number of free parameters. This criterion is equivalent to BIC if the population size is 400.
Other approaches than AIC and BIC can be used to select a value for
, in particular, (generalized) cross-validation (e.g., ![]()
![]()
on the basis of a fixed dimension dmain as proposed by ![]()
Step 2 of EpiMQM: one-dimensional genome scan for epistatic QTL:
We describe how the combination of interval mapping and penalized regression can be used to search for epistatic QTL along the genome. Suppose we test for the presence of a QTL at a certain map position. This can be seen as adding an extra marker to the regression model, where all marker scores are missing. The model reads
![]() |
(2) |
where
0 is the additive effect of the putative QTL,
j is the interaction effect between the QTL and marker j, and xi0 is an indicator variable for the QTL of individual i. If the incomplete observations are replaced by the complete observations (see, e.g., ![]()
, where X is the augmented design matrix, Y the vector with the augmented trait data, and ß = (µ,
0,
1, ... ,
m,
1,
2, ... ,
m)T. For this model the penalty matrix Q has the general form,

where
j is a penalty on the additive effect of marker j and
j is the penalty on the interaction between the putative QTL and marker j. The first two diagonal elements of the matrix Q are zero because we do not put a penalty on the mean µ and the QTL main effect
0. As noted by one of the referees, it might be interesting to put a small penalty on the QTL main effect
0, to reduce the bias in the estimates of this parameter (![]()
j =
and
j =
if the distance between putative QTL and marker j is at least 10 cM, otherwise
j =
j =
(and thus
j =
j = 0). Thus, a marker is not used in the model if the distance between the marker and the putative QTL is too small. This corresponds to the MQM method (![]()
,
, and p, the map position of the putative QTL. For this reason we also denote the effective dimension deff by the extended notation deff(
,
, p).
Before we can perform a scan for QTL we need to choose values for the penalties
and
. We could use BIC to find optimum values
and
at each map position p under study. However, we used a slightly more heuristic procedure to save computing time. The values of
and
at a position p can be chosen such that

where depi is the effective dimension for epistatic interactions. The value of depi can be chosen by the user. As noted earlier, this is similar to the approach proposed by ![]()
,
, p) and deff(
,
, p) hardly vary when moving the map position p of the QTL along the genome with fixed values of
and
. Therefore we decided to calculate
and
at an arbitrary map position and to use these values when the putative QTL is moved along the genome. In the simulation studies in this article we used the center of the second chromosome as the map position to calculate
and
.
If we choose depi close to zero, we implicitly assume that there are no epistatic interactions. If there is strong evidence, for instance from earlier experiments, that there are many interacting QTL, a high value for depi can be chosen. However, high values of depi (and thus
close to zero) will result in a decrease in power to detect QTL, since there are too many free interaction parameters in the model.
The evidence for a QTL at a certain map position can be expressed as usual in the LOD score, which is defined by

where
0 and
1 are the maximum-likelihood estimates under the null hypothesis H0 and alternative hypothesis H1, respectively. There are two tests of interest; one is to test for the presence of a QTL, and another is to test for the presence of interactions between a putative QTL and its genetic background. In this article we demonstrate the first test. The hypotheses for testing for the presence of a QTL are defined by

| SIMULATIONS |
|---|
We present three simulated backcross examples. In each of these examples the genome consists of three chromosomes of 100 cM each and with one QTL at 35 cM on chromosome 1, a second at 53 cM on chromosome 2, and a third at 22 cM on chromosome 3. The markers are placed at a distance of 10 cM apart. The data are simulated for 200 backcross individuals. The model for the phenotype yi is given by

where nQTL = 3 is the number of QTL,
j is the additive effect of QTL j, and
kl is the interaction effect between QTL k and l. The indicator variables qij depend on the genotype of QTL j for individual i. If QTL j of individual i is homozygous, then qij = 1/2, otherwise qij = -1/2. If all three QTL are unlinked, the total genetic variance is given by

The random environmental variable is normally distributed with mean zero and variance
2e. The heritability in the broad sense (![]()
.
The parameter values for the three sets of simulations are given in Table 1. In examples I and II it is assumed that there is a strong interaction between QTL 1 and 2, while their main effects are relatively low compared to QTL 3. Further, QTL 3 interacts weakly with QTL 1 and 2. Examples I and II differ only in the heritability h2. In example III it is assumed that the three QTL have no main effects, while the values of the interactions between the QTL are set equal to the values in examples I and II. There are two reasons why we include this simulation set in which all genetic variance is explained by epistatic interactions. First, previous work by ![]()
![]()
|
Example I consists of one single simulation, whereas examples II and III consist of a set of 1000 simulations. The first example is used to illustrate the EpiMQM method, whereas the other two examples are used to study the power of this new method. We obtained 5% significance thresholds from 10,000 simulation runs on individuals generated without genetic variance. In each simulation run the maximum LOD score along the genome was calculated by using a fixed stepsize of 1 cM. The LOD threshold value for depi = d is denoted by Td. Fig 2 shows that a high value for depi will lead to a decrease in power to detect QTL, because of the high threshold values. In Fig 2 we also plotted threshold values using the formula given by LANDER and BOTSTEIN (1989). For interval mapping (IM) they showed that in the limit of an infinitely dense map and a large progeny size, the LOD score along the genome varies according to the square of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process. The 5% significance threshold T can be approximated by T = x/(2 ln 10), where x is defined by the equation
![]() |
(3) |
|
In this formula
= 0.05 is the significance level, C is the number of chromosomes, G is the genome length in morgans, and
2f(x) denotes the cumulative distribution function of the
2 distribution with f degrees of freedom. We calculated an approximation of the threshold by setting the degrees of freedom f to depi + 1, i.e., to the difference in effective number of degrees of freedom between the null hypothesis H0 and the alternative hypothesis H1. Fig 2 shows that the differences between the thresholds obtained from simulations and Equation 3 are small. Therefore it seems reasonable to use this formula for the threshold if it will take too much computer time to obtain threshold values by simulation. In this article we use the threshold values obtained from simulations. Note that this procedure controls the experimentwise error of falsely detecting a QTL (![]()
| RESULTS |
|---|
Example I:
As described earlier, the EpiMQM method consists of two steps: penalized regression on the markers and a one-dimensional scan searching for interacting QTL. For this simulation example the first step was already discussed in METHODOLOGY (see Fig 1 and Fig 2).
Fig 3A shows the LOD scores along the genome for depi = 0; i.e., interactions between QTL and genetic background are excluded from the model. For this simulation only QTL 3 has a LOD score above the threshold T0 = 2.1. The reason is that QTL 3 has a strong main effect, whereas the other two QTL have weak main effects. Fig 3B gives the LOD scores if we include interactions between a QTL and its genetic background by setting depi = 3. Although increasing depi increases the threshold value from T0 = 2.1 to T3 = 3.7, all three QTL are detected, with LOD scores far above the threshold value.
|
In Fig 4 the squared interaction effect
2j between QTL and marker j is plotted for three positions of the putative QTL, namely at the maximum LOD score of each chromosome. The figure clearly shows that, if the putative QTL is located on chromosome 1, there are strong interactions with markers on chromosome 2. Similarly, if the putative QTL is located on chromosome 2, there are strong interactions with markers on chromosome 1. Both curves indicate that there is a strong interaction between the QTL found on the first and second chromosomes. If the putative QTL is located on chromosome 3, the figure shows that there are weak interactions with markers on the first and second chromosomes.
|
Example II:
In the previous example we calculated the LOD scores for just two settings of depi, namely 0 and 3. Now we study how the power to detect QTL depends on depi. The same parameter values are used as in example I, except that the heritability h2 is set to a lower value (0.30). Fig 5A shows how the power to detect QTL depends on depi. QTL 1 and 2 have a low power to be detected if depi = 0, since these QTL have very weak main effects. A small increase in depi leads to a higher power for all three QTL. For QTL 3, with a large main effect and weak interaction effects, the highest power to be detected is obtained if the value of depi lies between 1 and 3. The other two strongly interacting QTL have the highest chance to be detected if depi lies in a range between 3 and 5. Thus, for this example, depi = 3 is a good choice.
|
Example III:
This example concerns three QTL with only epistatic interactions and no main effects (see Table 1). Fig 5B shows the power to detect the QTL as a function of depi. As desired, the method fails to detect QTL if depi = 0, since the QTL have no main effect. However, the chance of detecting QTL increases rapidly with depi. For intermediate values of depi (2
depi
10), the strongly interacting QTL 1 and 2 are detected in >95% of the simulations, while the weakly interacting QTL 3 is detected in at least 30% of the simulations.
| DISCUSSION |
|---|
Relation to other QTL mapping methods:
The EpiMQM method can be considered as a generalization of IM (![]()
![]()
![]()
). Thus, s = 1 if
= 0, and s = 0 if
. In IM, no markers are selected as cofactors, which in terms of penalized regression means that s = 0. In the original CIM method (![]()
2 is replaced by the unbiased estimator.
The disadvantage of the IM method is that there are no markers in the model to control the genetic background. In contrast, if almost all markers are used as cofactors in the model to control the genetic background we may use more markers than necessary. This can reduce the power of the test and increase the sampling variance of estimates, particularly when the sample size is small (![]()
![]()
j and selection degrees sj for each marker j. For the markers that are selected as cofactors by backward selection in the MQM method we have sj = 1, while for the other markers we have sj = 0.
EpiMQM is also related to Bayesian methods for QTL mapping (e.g., ![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Extensions and improvements of the EpiMQM method:
There are several ideas to further develop the penalized regression method, which need to be investigated in more detail. One idea for improvement concerns the selection of markers near the putative QTL. In the present form, if the moving QTL gets close to a marker, say a preset window of 10 or 20 cM, the marker is dropped as cofactor. The penalty for main effects jumps from some fixed value
j =
to
j =
if the marker enters the QTL window. An alternative and more general solution for markers near a putative QTL is to define the penalty as
j =
(r), where
is a decreasing function of the recombination frequency r between marker j and the putative QTL, with
(0) =
and
(1/2) =
. Defining some smooth function, for example
(r) =
/(2r), seems more elegant then defining a QTL window.
Another extension of the penalized regression method can be obtained by using other penalty matrices Q. One of the problems in model selection procedures is that closely linked markers can cause statistical artifacts (![]()
j +
j+1
0. But we can still get large values for
j and
j+1, with
j
-
j+1, which we might take as evidence for two linked QTL with opposite effects. However, in most cases this will be a statistical artifact due to the near collinearity between the two markers. With penalized regression we can reduce the chance of these statistical artifacts by putting a penalty on the differences
j -
j-1; see, for instance, ![]()
Application of penalized likelihood methods to other population structures and marker-assisted selection:
The penalized likelihood method is of interest for a wide range of problems in statistical genetics. One example is the use of ridge regression in marker-assisted selection. ![]()
The EpiMQM model in Equation 2 can be easily extended with fixed effects such as year effects. Other examples where penalized regression methods are of interest are experiments with genotype-by-environment interactions and in multiple related crosses. If we apply the standard MQM method, the number of parameters for the genetic background of a QTL, approximated by nearby markers, can be very high. Therefore it may be interesting to control the dimension of the genetic background by using penalized likelihood methods.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
|---|
We thank Marco Bink, Bas Engel, and Paul Goedhart for useful discussions of statistical methods for QTL mapping. The comments of two anonymous referees are gratefully acknowledged. The first author was supported by grant no. 925-01-001 from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO).
Manuscript received January 8, 2002; Accepted for publication July 18, 2002.
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