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Multileveled Selection on Plasmid Replication
Johan Paulssonaa Department of Molecular Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey 08544
Corresponding author: Johan Paulsson, Princeton University, Washington Rd., Princeton, NJ 08544., paulsson{at}princeton.edu (E-mail)
Communicating editor: M. W. FELDMAN
| ABSTRACT |
|---|
The replication control genes of bacterial plasmids face selection at two conflicting levels. Plasmid copies that systematically overreplicate relative to their cell mates have a higher chance of fixing in descendant cells, but these cells typically have a lower chance of fixing in the population. Apart from identifying the conflict, this mathematical discussion characterizes the efficiency of the selection levels and suggests how they drive the evolution of kinetic mechanisms. In particular it is hypothesized that: (1) tighter replication control is more vulnerable to selfishness; (2) cis-acting replication activators are relics of a conflict where a plasmid outreplicated its intracellular competitors by monopolizing activators; (3) high-copy plasmids with sloppy replication control arise because intracellular selection favors overreplication, thereby relieving intercellular selection for lower loss rates; (4) the excessive synthesis of cis-acting replication activators and trans-acting inhibitors is the result of an arms race between cis selfishness and trans retaliations; (5) site-specific recombination of plasmid dimers is equivalent to self-policing; and (6) plasmids modify their horizontal transfer to spread without promoting selfishness. It is also discussed how replication control may be subject to a third level of selection acting on the entire population of plasmid-containing cells.
PLASMIDS are self-replicating gene clusters commonly found in the cytoplasm of prokaryotes. They are widely used as cloning vectors but also serve as model systems for replication control (![]()
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Previous analyses have dealt with multileveled selection on various plasmid-carried genes (![]()
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| PLASMID REPLICATION CONTROL |
|---|
If plasmids maximally exploited their hosts, over- and underreplication below and above the carrying capacity of the cytoplasm would automatically check random fluctuations around an average copy number. Natural plasmids instead define their own carrying capacity by encoding functions for autoregulating the initiation of replication. By decreasing the average copy number, replication control reduces the metabolic burden imposed on the host, and by suppressing the demographic noise around the average, it additionally reduces the loss probability at cell division.
Kinetics of replication control:
Many plasmids, including R1 and ColE1 (![]()
![]() |
(1) |
where y is the plasmid concentration, function r(y) is the per plasmid replication frequency, and µ is the rate constant for dilution due to exponential cell growth, here assumed to be independent of y (see INTERCELLULAR SELECTION). Molecularly, r depends on the activator synthesis rate that in turn depends on the inhibitor concentration. Since inhibitors typically have short half-lives and are expressed constitutively from plasmids, their concentration in turn stays proportional to a changing y (![]()
![]()
![]()
A commonly used kinetic approximation for inhibition mechanisms is the negative Hill function:
![]() |
(2) |
The approximation is valid when k >> µ, as for plasmids ColE1 (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]() |
(3) |
K has no effect on the normalized dynamics of Equation 1 (![]()
i(1 - µ/k)% when y increases 1% above
(Appendix).
Replication control checks random fluctuations:
Since chemical reactions are probabilistic by nature, the plasmid copy number m varies randomly from cell to cell. Such chemical noise can be modeled using master equations (![]()
![]()
t are then approximately rm
t and µm
t, respectively, and the linear noise approximation (![]()
![]() |
(4) |
(![]()
m
.
Random fluctuations increase the average loss rate:
The probability that all plasmid copies segregate to the same daughter at cell division depends on the copy number and the type of plasmid partitioning. With a perfectly working partition function losses occur only when m = 1. If copies instead segregate independently to identical daughtersbinomial partitioningthe loss probability is
. Since cells with lower m run disproportionally higher risks of giving rise to plasmid-free progeny, random fluctuations around an average
m
increase the average loss probability
L
(the Jensen inequality guarantees that
L
L
m
since L is convex in m). In fact, many naturally arising copy number distributions allow for the approximation
L
2b
m
, where 1/2
b
1. Higher b reflects broader distributions and greater loss rates. For Poisson distributions b
e-1/2
0.6 and for the Gaussians of Equation 4, b decreases with i(1 - µ/k) (Appendix). This summarizes the established perspective on plasmid replication control: Tighter negative feedback more effectively suppresses random fluctuations and thereby increases segregational stability for a given average copy number (Fig 1A).
|
| INTRACELLULAR SELECTION |
|---|
Plasmids with too similar replication control systems are unable to stably coexist in heteroplasmid cells; they are incompatible (for an excellent review see ![]()
Cis and trans: acquiring activators and avoiding inhibitors:
Replication control allows a plasmid copy to kinetically communicate its presence to the other copies in the cell and set its own replication frequency according to the total plasmid concentration. Consequently, some mutations affect kinetic properties that are public to all copies (trans mutations) while others act on properties that are kept private to the mutant copies (cis mutations). Trans mutations are neutral (Appendix) in terms of intracellular selection since all copies are affected the same way (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
A generalization of the approximation in Equation 2 for incompatible Y1 and Y2 plasmids in heteroplasmid cellstailor-made for the molecular processes aboveis
![]() |
(5) |
For plasmid ColE1, k is the maximal synthesis rate of the cis activator, C depends on the inhibitor's cis target sites, and K depends on the structure and turnover rates of the trans inhibitor. Since both plasmid types are subject to the same cell volume and growth rate, v and µ, it is convenient to use the condensed notations
![]() |
(6) |
The average copy number in homoplasmid cells (see Equation 3) and the ratio between replication frequencies in heteroplasmid cells are then
![]() |
(7) |
Equation 5 is thus simplified in two ways: It assumes a clear cut between cis and trans mutations and it does not allow for frequency-dependent intracellular selection (r2/r1 is constant).
Incompatibility and genetic drift:
If two types of organisms exploit the same niche in the same way, the carrying capacity of the environment checks only fluctuations in their total number. Fluctuations in their individual numbers instead stand uncorrected and random drift quickly drives one or the other to fixation. In direct analogy, replication control in heteroplasmid cells acts on the weighted sum of plasmid copy numbers rather than the two separately. The inability to sense and correct individual fluctuations leads to greatly increased losses; i.e., heteroplasmid cells give rise to homoplasmid segregants at a much higher rate than homoplasmid cells give rise to plasmid-free segregants (![]()
The average fraction of homoplasmid-descendant cells in which a plasmid copy eventually is fixed can be estimated by replacing cell growth and plasmid segregation by plasmid elimination intensities µm1 and µm2 (![]()
, the effective single-copy substitution rates equal the elimination intensity of one type multiplied by the probability that the other type replicates first. The ratio between single-copy substitution rates is then r2/r1 (Appendix), which uniquely determines fixation fractions. This is equivalent to a ![]()
![]()
and all copies have the same chance of fixing (Appendix). For cis mutations fixation fractions are harder to calculate, but when r2/r1 is independent of m1 and m2, as in Equation 7, their ratio (Appendix) is the standard
![]() |
(8) |
More details on genetic drift including bottlenecks, partitioning mechanisms, and unequal mT are given in the Appendix
| INTERCELLULAR SELECTION |
|---|
Plasmids depend entirely on their hosts for reproduction and are thus under selection to maximize the net growth rate of plasmid-containing cells. Since copy numbers vary statistically from cell to cell it may seem that individual cells have individual fitnesses. However, copy number fluctuations are both epigenetic and transient. Selection therefore effectively acts on the net growth rate accumulated over a few generations, i.e., on the distribution associated with a replication control mechanism rather than on individual fluctuations.
Net growth and genetic drift:
Much of the analysis is simplified to inspect the competition between homoplasmid X1 and X2 cells, containing plasmids Y1 and Y2, respectively. Plasmids are thus considered essential to their hosts and arising heteroplasmid cells are assumed to immediately turn into homoplasmid cells with probabilities that are included in the effective mutation and conjugation rates below. This is approximate since separation of plasmids requires cell divisions, but it is sufficient for the current purposes. Over evolutionary time one should also expect an accumulation of competing cell types, not just X1 and X2, but this simplification makes it possible to analytically demonstrate some first principles.
Most ecological plasmid models (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]() |
(9) |
with rate parameters µ for cell growth,
L
µ for plasmid losses,2
for mutations (
1 is the rate from type 2 to type 1), and
for transferassuming conjugation to be proportional to the product of donor and recipient cells (![]()
![]()
is counteracted when larger populations take up a larger total volume. For this reason, and to reduce notational complexity,
is used throughout and can be seen as the maximal conjugation rate per donor or recipient cell. The elimination function
keeps xT constant (![]()
marks differences between X2 and X1 parameters; e.g.,
.
The steady-state densities of Equation 9 (Appendix) are equal when the difference in mutation rates balances differences in losses, growth, and horizontal transfer:
![]() |
(10) |
Without mutations, X2 cells would be outcompeted by X1 cells (or vice versa) when 
L
µ -
µ > 
since their net growth rate per cell is lower at all densities. This is a version of the Stewart-Levin criterion (![]()
Deterministic models are practical when all cell types exist in high numbers, but since X1 and X2 cells in Equation 9 coexist only due to mutations, stochastic descriptions are more appropriate. With the same notations and assumptions as in the deterministic analysis (Appendix), where n is used for numbers instead of x for densities, assume that single-cell substitutions occur as a result of conjugation between cells of different types or of birth of one cell multiplied by the probability that a cell of the other type is eliminated [a ![]()
|
(11) |
(Appendix), in direct analogy with Equation 8.
Plasmid burdens:
To compete with both plasmid-free and plasmid-containing cells, plasmids are constantly under intercellular selection to reduce metabolic burdens while also considering loss rates and conjugation frequencies. Burdens depend strongly on copy numbers, gene expression levels, environmental conditions, and the history of plasmid-host coevolution. In spite of such contingency, a brief account of phenomenological features helps put the present analysis in perspective.
Because the low losses at high copy numbers do not compensate for the high losses at low copy numbers, the average loss rate
L
increases with fluctuations around an average
m
(see PLASMID REPLICATION CONTROL). This argument has permeated the plasmid literature, yet similar questions are never raised for burdens: Do copy fluctuations have a significant impact on the average host growth rate? There are two scenarios where they should not. First, if the burden responds more or less linearly to fluctuations in copy number, the effect of up-fluctuations cancels the effect of down-fluctuations. Second, if there is a long phenotypic lag before a change in copy number affects growth, cells effectively integrate over plasmid fluctuations, sensing mainly the average. By contrast, if the growth rate quickly and nonlinearly responds to plasmid fluctuations, one should expect fluctuations to also affect the average burden. For instance, if a high growth rate requires that m is above or below a certain threshold, then plasmids with
m
on the right side of the threshold are under selection for narrow distributions, while plasmids with
m
on the wrong side are under selection for a different
m
or broader distributions. Similarly, if the burden were proportional to m2, the average burden would be proportional to
, where
2m is the copy number variance. On the other hand, if statistical uncertainty in the expression of some plasmid gene is advantageous, randomizing transcription or translation is more likely than randomizing replication. Phenotypic variability does not rely on plasmid fluctuations.
Because it is speculative if or how copy fluctuations affect growth, most of the analysis does not rely on detailed assumptions. In some quantitative examples, however, it is assumed that
![]() |
(12) |
where µ0 is the growth rate of cells carrying a utopian plasmid that can confer, e.g., antibiotic resistance without an associated metabolic burden, and B represents the small burden per plasmid copy, independently of fluctuations.
A trade-off between burdens and losses:
An increase in average copy number generally increases the burden that plasmids impose on their hosts but instead reduces their loss rate. There is thus a trade-off between the two disadvantages and presumably an optimal average copy number that maximizes the net growth rate of the plasmid-containing cell. For instance, if
(see PLASMID REPLICATION CONTROL) and
(see above), then (1 -
L
)µ as a function of
m
has an internal maximum at
m
opt (Appendix). At higher
m
, metabolic burdens are too large, and at lower
m
, plasmid losses are too high (Fig 1B). Narrower distributions (lower b) similarly come at the price of higher burdens (![]()
| SELECTION CONFLICTS |
|---|
Intracellular selection favors replication control systems that allow their plasmids to outreplicate other plasmids. Intercellular selection instead favors control systems that allow their cells to outgrow competing cell types. This section compares the relative strengths of the two forces and predicts to what extent selfishness can promote an increase in average copy numbers. It is also proposed how the conflict can cause neutrality to random copy number fluctuations and explain the existence of cis activators.
The effective level of selection:
The fate of plasmid-containing cells depends on selection at two levels: Intercellular selection operates on plasmid burdens, loss rates, and conjugation frequencies, while intracellular selection determines the fraction of descendant cells that are finally affected by a mutation or conjugation event. If heteroplasmid cells arise with the same mutation rate
0 per plasmid copy, the effective rates per cell of forming homoplasmid descendants of the other type are
(Equation 8). Similarly, if the two plasmids have identical conjugation mechanisms, the effective conjugation rates are
.
By combining the expressions for intra- and intercellular genetic drift when mutations are rare and by assuming low rates of conjugation and plasmid losses as well as small differences in cell growth ratestypical in vivo parameter valuesselfish plasmids are predicted to reign with higher probability than altruistic plasmids (Appendix) approximately when
![]() |
(13) |
The approximation allows µ to be either µ1 or µ2 and mT to be either mT1 or mT2. When the population size mT differs greatly between the two plasmids, mT in Equation 13 is closer to the mT for the plasmid with higher intracellular fitness (see Appendix). Equation 13 conforms closely with LEIGH's (1983) analysis of individuals (plasmid copies) vs. groups (plasmid-containing cells) that stressed three major requirements for group selection to be effective:
- Each new group should be founded by members from few other groups.
- The number of groups should be high compared to the number of individuals per group (nT >> mT).
- Transfer between groups should be low (
0 << µ).
Since a daughter cell has a single mother, the first requirement is automatically fulfilled. The number of copies per cell is also fairly low, ranging from a few to at most a few hundred, while the number of cells per population can be very high. Finally, conjugation rates tend to be low and some plasmids actively avoid forming heteroplasmid cells with incompatible relatives (see SUPPRESSING CONFLICTS). From this one might expect intercellular selection to overrule intracellular selection and plasmids to live in reasonable harmony with the plasmid-containing cell. However, counteracting these effects, simple mutations can result in great intracellular advantages while the differences in losses and metabolic burdens typically are very small. Intracellular selection thus operates with small populations but large selection coefficients while intercellular selection operates with large populations but small selection coefficients.
More cells in a given volume imply more encounters and thus more transfer. This is taken into account in the above analysis because the transfer rate is assumed to be
0n1n2 (see INTERCELLULAR SELECTION) where
0 in Equation 13 is defined by
. The second term in the right-hand side of Equation 13 thus increases with nT and the total right-hand side has a minimum at the cell population size for which plasmid selfishness is most efficiently suppressed:
![]() |
(14) |
At lower nT, the intercellular selection process is too random to efficiently pick up on small selection coefficients, and at higher nT, the transfer rate is so high that selfish and altruistic plasmids meet too often for the altruists to benefit from their strategy. Equation 14 thus exemplifies how larger cell populations do not necessarily lead to more placid plasmids but it should be modified when the conjugation rate saturates or accelerates at high nT.
Sensitivity of replication control and selfish deviations from optimality:
By favoring overreplicating plasmids, intracellular selection promotes a selfish increase in the average copy number. How large deviations 
m
from
m
opt one should expect depends on how the two selective forces respond to changes in
m
.
At the intracellular level, consider the idealized case where plasmids replicate as soon as their concentration decreases below a threshold value, but never when above. Volume expansion due to cell growth continually dilutes plasmids, and when the threshold concentration is reached, a plasmid copy replicates. This raises the inhibitor concentration and blocks further replication attempts. Consequently, if Y2 plasmids due to a cis mutation have a slightly higher threshold than Y1 plasmids, only Y2 plasmids can ever replicate. Realistic control mechanisms would give only a partial advantage to Y1 or Y2 plasmids but with higher sensitivity one approaches the threshold situation
![]() |
(15) |
(Equation 5Equation 6Equation 7). The second approximation is based on a first-order Taylor expansion around
m
opt. When i is high, a cis mutant can thus receive a substantial intracellular advantage even if it has only a slightly higher
m
.
At the intercellular level, selection favors cells that better balance metabolic burdens [µ
µ0(1 - B
m
)] and plasmid losses (
L
2b
m
). If X1 cells have an optimal trade-off as outlined in INTERCELLULAR SELECTION, while Y2 plasmids deviate 
m
above
m
opt, X2 cells are disadvantaged (Fig 1B) by intercellular selection and a second-order Taylor expansion (Appendix) around
m
opt gives
![]() |
(16) |
Parameter -B ln b > 0 is thus a measure of how sensitively the intercellular selection responds to changes in
m
.
An estimate of the balance between the selective forces can be found by using the expressions for r, µ, and
L
directly in the genetic drift equations. At the price of less generality, more transparent results can also be obtained by using the approximations in Equation 13Equation 14Equation 15Equation 16 that predict the selfish plasmid to be at a net advantage as long as it is not too selfish, i.e., when
![]() |
(17) |
where mT is an intermediate between the two plasmids. A higher i is partially counteracted by a higher -ln b, but the total effect should still be a higher -i/ln b (Appendix). This poses an interesting dilemma. Plasmids must code for sensitive controlhigh ito effectively reduce copy number variation in a cell population (Equation 4) and thereby lower the average loss rate at cell division. However, higher sensitivity also results in greater payoffs for overreplicating cis mutants, raising the question if plasmids can reconcile effective noise suppression with restrained selfishness.
Does the selection conflict generate noisy plasmids?
A parasitic increase in the average copy number typically leads to lower loss rates and higher metabolic burdens. As a consequence, the selective pressure for even lower loss rates is relieved while the selection on burdens intensifies. If the only effect of random fluctuations is to increase the loss rateas is commonly assumed (see INTERCELLULAR SELECTION)parasitically high averages should thus result in selective neutrality to noise suppression and efficiency of replication control. In other words, even if low average copy numbers and effective control would allow for the most cost-efficient plasmid-containing cells, multileveled selection could instead result in plasmids with high averages but broad distributions. For a quantitative example, again consider
L
2b
m
and µ/µ0
1 - B
m
. If
m
1 >>
m
opt, then the burden is relatively high and the loss rate is relatively low (Fig 1B). For a competing Y2 plasmid with
but broader (b2 > b1) copy number distribution,
L
2 -
L
1 could be insignificant even if
L
2/
L
1 is very high (Fig 1B), as when
and
.
At the heart of this argument is the assumption that average loss rates increase with random fluctuations while average metabolic burdens do not. However, if loss rates are very low due to plasmid selfishness, and fluctuations indeed increase the burden (see INTERCELLULAR SELECTION), lowering the burden could in fact be the primary role of noise suppression. Replication control would then not be balancing losses against burdens, but burdens against selfishness.
Cis activatorsrelics of selfishness?
For R1, ColE1, and similar plasmids, both cis and trans activators could result in constitutive attempts to initiate replication. The only apparent regulatory difference is a short time delay when activators reside in the cytoplasm before binding to plasmids. However, a plasmid that starts to monopolize its activator moleculesforcing them to act in cisalso receives a great intracellular advantage over its cell mates. If the fraction of activators made from Y1 and Y2 copies are m1/mT and m2/mT, and Y2 copies keep their activators in cis but tap into the common pool of trans activators as effectively as the Y1 copies, Y1 and Y2 plasmids take fractions m21/m2T and m1m2/m2T + m2/mT, respectively. For ColE1 (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
. Equation 13 cannot be used directly for the balance between the selective forces because r2/r1 depends on m1 and m2, but the fixation fractions are still analytically tractable (Appendix) and the cis fixation advantage is
![]() |
(18) |
where
3.14 is the mathematical constant. A single Y2 copy in a cell with Y1 copies thus has a 4mT/
times higher chance of being fixed than a single Y1 copy in a cell with Y2 copies. This in turn means that Equation 13 can be used with
ln r
2 ln 2 (Appendix).
Selfish changes in replication control should often be expected to reduce the fitness of the plasmid-containing cell. However, cis action does not necessarily affect the copy number distribution in the subsequent homoplasmid cells at all. Activators still have the same structure and are synthesized at the same rate; they are only allocated earlier. Parameter 
L
-
µ/µ in Equation 13 could thus be very low or even negative. In other words, the strong intracellular selective force to privatize activators is opposed by a weakif anyforce at the intercellular level. This may explain why cis activators are so popular in replication control, like RepA of R1 and RNA II of ColE1, but at the same time raises the question how plasmids like pT181 can share their RepC activators in trans.
| SUPPRESSING CONFLICTS |
|---|
Conflicts between levels of selection provide niches for suppression mechanisms that protect higher-level units from lower-level selfishness. As demonstrated by, e.g., tumor suppressor genes, the actual conflict can then be insignificant compared to the potential conflict. This section discusses three types of mechanisms for suppressing intracellular selfishness: trans retaliations to lower the average copy number without suffering an intracellular penalty, discriminatory conjugation for effective horizontal transfer without mixing related plasmids, and site-specific recombination to resolve overreplicating plasmid multimers.
Retaliations in trans:
The previous chapter treated the selection balance between two plasmid types in the hypothetical absence of other types. However, rather than ending in a static compromise between selection levels, conflicts can lead to an innovative evolutionary game of moves and countermoves. In particular, selfish deviations toward higher Qcis and
m
>
m
opt (Equation 6 and Equation 7) would not necessarily be succeeded by a revertant to lower Qcis, but more likely to higher Qtrans that can reduce
m
back toward
m
opt without suffering an intracellular disadvantage. The interplay between the two levels of selection can thus lead to an arms race between cis selfishness and trans retaliations (Fig 2). For instance, the inhibitor target sites are under intracellular selection to avoid inhibitors, but low-affinity targets provide intercellular selection for more potent inhibitors, amounting to an evolutionary game of hide-and-seek. Similarly, the arms race may result in high synthesis rates of both the cis activators and the trans inhibitors, something that has been observed for plasmids ColE1, R1, and numerous other plasmids. At some point the race slows down by the metabolic burden associated with overproducing inhibitors and activators (an aspect of intercellular selection that is ignored above) or by entropic effects when most mutations lead to lower promoter activities. Chromosomal mutations typically affect all plasmid copies in the cell and thus take the role of trans mutations.
|
Safe sex:
The evolutionary success of plasmids depends directly on conjugationsex between prokaryoteswhereby plasmids transfer horizontally to new cells or even new types of cells (![]()
![]()
![]()
Many plasmids avoid redundant conjugation by encoding mechanisms for surface exclusion (![]()
![]()
Both these mechanisms allow plasmids to epidemically sweep through a population of plasmid-free cells but still keep formation of heteroplasmid cells at a minimum. They could thus play the role of uniparental inheritance of intracellular organelles that similarly allows effective transmission without pitting copies against each other (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Policing against multimers:
Plasmid monomers spontaneously form multimers through homologous recombination. Multimerization is highly unfavorable for plasmids because it imposes a larger burden on the host and increases the plasmid loss rate (![]()
![]()
The replication frequency of multimers depends on the replication control, but for ColE1 the effect is fairly straightforward. If j replication origins are intact, multimerization increases the synthesis rates of both the cis activator and the trans inhibitor by a factor j. The trans effect downregulates replication attempts of monomers and multimers alike while the cis effect gives an unequal advantage to multimers. In terms of Equation 5 HREF="#FD6">Equation 6Equation 7 with Y1 as monomers and Yj as j-fold multimers,
and
so that
. Intracellular selection can thus accentuate the multimer problem by inducing runaway multimerization as demonstrated and convincingly argued by Summers and co-workers (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
| A THIRD LEVEL OF SELECTION? |
|---|
In addition to intra- and intercellular selection, lineage selection could favor plasmid traits that help the population of plasmid-containing cells to fight plasmid-free cells. This section discusses how spitefully low loss rates are favored by lineage selection, suppressed by intercellular selection, and generated by intracellular selection.
Intermittent selection and spitefully low losses:
If plasmids have been essential in the recent history, if they colonize a new host, or if the plasmid-carrying cell explores a new environment, it is possible that there are no plasmid-free competing cells. If plasmids are burdensome, the first arising plasmid-free competitor under nonselective conditions can initiate a rapid wipeout of plasmids from the population. To survive periods between selective sweeps, plasmids may thus be well served by spitefully low losses, i.e., a so low
L
that the total effect of losses and metabolic burdens lowers the net growth rate.
For a quantitative example assume that
L
2 x 0.6
m
and µ
µ0(1 - 10-4 x
m
), so that
m
opt
18 (Appendix). At
, then (1 -
L
)µ/µ0
0.998 and
L
2 x 10-4 so that plasmid-free competitors arise quickly even in fairly small populations. If
, then
L
3 x 10-9 so that plasmid-free competitors rarely arise from plasmid-containing cells, but then instead (1 -
L
)µ/µ0
0.996. The 0.2% difference in effective net growth is selectively significant when the population has >103 individuals, suggesting a selection conflict between the individual cell and the population.
Though conflicts often are resolved in favor of the shorter time scale and the lower level of selection, lineage selection could in principle be sufficient to favor plasmid-host clades that sacrifice net growth for lower
L
. However, just as many putative examples of group selection have now been explained by lower-level selection, very low
L
could also be due to intracellular selection: cis selfishness can decrease loss rates more than is metabolically justifiable (see SELECTION CONFLICTS). Selfishness of the lower-level unit could thus increase the long-term stability of the higher-level unit by overriding the selection for a middle-level unit.
A rigorous treatment of this problem must take stochastics into account. The advantage of very low
L
heavily relies on the difference between zero and one competing cell and is easily obscured in mathematical rate equation models where the fraction of plasmid-containing cells can approach zero, but never quite go extinct. Spatial population structure should also be expected to have a large effect since the incentive to suppress competitors is more compelling if one has to deal with them in person.
| DISCUSSION |
|---|
Natural selection occurs at all levels of biological organization. At higher levels it favors cooperation between lower-level units and at lower levels it favors cheaters that exploit the common good for their own interests (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
Many analyses of intragenomic conflicts briefly mention bacterial plasmids, and the few explicit studies (![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
![]()
| FOOTNOTES |
|---|
2 This is an approximation that works well when
L
< 10%. ![]()
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
|---|
I am grateful to R. Kishony, E. C. Cox, C. N. Peterson, M. Ehrenberg, E. Szathmary, and M. Nowak for comments on the manuscript. This work was supported by a Lewis-Thomas Fellowship from Princeton University and Bristol-Myers Squibb, the Swedish National Graduate School of Scientific Computing, and a Swedish Science Research Council grant to Måns Ehrenberg.
Manuscript received January 9, 2002; Accepted for publication April 15, 2002.
| APPENDIX |
|---|
Equations are derived in order of appearance.
Plasmid replication control:
Local steady-state sensitivity is found by differentiating around steady state in log-log scale. For r in (1) and (2), this gives
![]() |
(A1) |
High sensitivity thus requires an efficient design (high i) and rate constants such that the mechanism can operate far from saturation (k >> µ). Molecularly, plasmids obtain high sensitivity by multimerization or cooperative binding of regulatory molecules, multistep schemes similar to proofreading, and perhaps also noise-enhanced sensitivity: stochastic focusing (![]()
![]()
![]()
The average plasmid loss rate for binomial partitioning and Poisson distributed copies is
|
(A2) |
which is approximate also because m = 0 should be excluded and the distribution should be normalized: Only plasmid-containing cells can contribute to the loss rate. For Gaussians the same type of calculation leads to
|
(A3) |
This is approximate because discrete copy numbers are replaced by a continuum and because m
0 should be excluded. The left tail also contributes greatly to
L
but is badly represented in linear noise approximations when distributions are broad. The negative binomiala distribution over the natural numbers with a shape parameter that determines the variance for a given averagearises in numerous simple chemical reactions (![]()
![]()
![]()
Intracellular selection:
A heteroplasmid cell gives rise to homoplasmid descendants over time. For incompatible plasmids, the transition is relatively fast so that most cells are homoplasmid already after a few divisions (![]()
![]()
. If substitutions occur when a random copy is eliminated and one of the other type replicates, then the substitution rates are
![]() |
(A4) |
where r1m1 and r2m2 are total the birth intensities of the two plasmids, respectively. If substitutions instead occur when a copy replicates and one of the other type is eliminated [a standard ![]()
![]() |
(A5) |
The rates determine the time course of the process, but the final resultsthe fixation fractionsare determined only by their ratio
/ß. In both (A4) and (A5),
. Fixation fractions can thus be approximated from a birth-and-death process with absorbing boundaries and
and
. In the simple scenario that r1/r2 is constant, they simply follow from a random walk,
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(A6) |
so that (8) follows directly. The simplification that mT is the same in both types of homoplasmid cells can be relieved but requires additional assumptions of how mT changes with m1 and m2 during the competition. To see what effect this can have, assume that when a single Y2 copy arises among Y1 copies, the population size is a constant mT1 and when a single Y1 copy arises among Y2 copies, the population size is a constant mT2. The advantage of this simplification is that one can still use (8) as an approximation where mT is taken from the plasmid with highest r: The fittest plasmid determines the effective population size. This follows from (A6) and can be more intuitively understood by noting that a more fit individual typically fails to take over due to the initial randomness at low numbers, but once it has accumulat





. (B) Simplistic burdens (solid line) and losses (dotted lines) as functions of average copy number 














, using
so that 




