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A Quick Method for Computing Approximate Thresholds for Quantitative Trait Loci Detection
Hans-Peter Piephoaa Institut fuer Nutzpflanzenkunde, Universitaet Kassel, 37213 Witzenhausen, Germany
Corresponding author: Hans-Peter Piepho, Universitaet Kassel, Steinstrasse 19, 37213 Witzenhausen, Germany., piepho{at}wiz.uni-kassel.de (E-mail)
Communicating editor: Z-B. ZENG
| ABSTRACT |
|---|
This article proposes a quick method for computing approximate threshold levels that control the genome-wise type I error rate of tests for quantitative trait locus (QTL) detection in interval mapping (IM) and composite interval mapping (CIM). The procedure is completely general, allowing any population structure to be handled, e.g., BC1, advanced backcross, F2, and advanced intercross lines. Its main advantage is applicability in complex situations where no closed form approximate thresholds are available. Extensive simulations demonstrate that the method works well over a range of situations. Moreover, the method is computationally inexpensive and may thus be used as an alternative to permutation procedures. For given values of the likelihood-ratio (LR)-profile, computations involve just a few seconds on a Pentium PC. Computations are simple to perform, requiring only the values of the LR statistics (or LOD scores) of a QTL scan across the genome as input. For CIM, the window size and the position of cofactors are also needed. For the approximation to work well, it is suggested that scans be performed with a relatively small step size between 1 and 2 cM.
MAPPING of quantitative trait loci (QTL) is of growing interest to both breeders and geneticists (![]()
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2-distribution with degrees of freedom equal to the number of associated QTL effects. Since the QTL position is not known, multiple tests are performed in small steps across the whole genome. To control the genome-wise type I error rate, some form of adjustment of the critical threshold value of the test statistic is necessary. ![]()
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The purpose of this article is to suggest a quick method to compute approximate threshold values for both IM and CIM using the results of ![]()
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| THEORY |
|---|
The most common approach to the multiple testing problem is a Bonferroni adjustment of the significance level (![]()
/M, which guarantees the overall type I error rate to be below
. This method works fine so long as the number of tests is small. In QTL mapping the number of tests is bounded only by the step size chosen as we scan across the genome. When the step size tends to zero, the number of tests (M) approaches infinity, and the Bonferroni approach breaks down. Essentially this is because correlations among tests at adjacent points on the chromosome are not exploited.
A key to finding a useful procedure is to realize that in significance testing for QTL, we are in a situation where a nuisance parameter, i.e., the position of the QTL, is present only under the alternative hypothesis (![]()
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Controlling the chromosome-wise error rate:
In this article, it is assumed that QTL are mapped by either IM or CIM using the ML method (![]()
![]()
- T(
) is the LR test statistic at the putative QTL position
in centimorgans; LOD(
) = T(
)/[2 log(10)].
is the chromosome-wise type I error rate. - C is the critical threshold value for LR test statistic.
- k is the number of genetic effects for the putative QTL (k depends on the population being studied. Examples: For a backcross population, k = 1, i.e., one allelic substitution effect. For an F2 population, k = 2, i.e., one additive and one dominance effect).
It is assumed that T(
) is a continuous function of
, except for a finite number of jumps in the first derivative with respect to
. A further assumption is that conditional on the QTL position T(
) follows a
2-distribution with k d.f. To detect QTL, the chromosome is scanned and the maximum of T(
) is determined over a grid for
[max T(
), say]. The null hypothesis of no QTL on a given chromosome is rejected when max T(
) > C. For a given critical value C, the chromosome-wise type I error rate is bounded above by
![]() |
(1) |
where Pr(
2k > C) is the cumulative distribution function of
2 with k d.f. and
(·) is the Gamma function. The upper bound in (1) is derived, taking into account the fact that test statistics T(
) computed at adjacent positions
are stochastically dependent and in fact form a stochastic process. For details of derivation the reader is referred to ![]()
![]()
. Thus, it can be said that the second term takes care of the fact that multiple tests are performed and we need to consider the unconditional distribution of max T(
) across the chromosome, rather than the conditional distribution of T(
) for a specific
. Thus, the resulting threshold for a prespecified
will be higher than that for the conditional test. ![]()
L0E|
in (1) by
![]() |
(2) |
where
1, ... ,
r are the successive turning points (points of inflection) of
, i.e., the values of
, where the first derivative
changes sign. This change of sign occurs at the local minima and maxima of
. A sign change can (but need not) occur at the markers. The advantage of (2) is that it can be computed from the LR (LOD) profile alone, i.e., from the T(
) values computed from the data for a grid of values for
, and does not require further theoretical calculations. Using (2) in place of the integral in (1), the upper bound of the chromosome-wise type I error rate is estimated by
![]() |
(3) |
For given
, C may be found from (3) by numerical methods. The problem in practice is to find the turning points
1, ... ,
r. In most cases, this will have to be done numerically. Usually a grid search is done over all
, so the turning points can only be determined to the accuracy given by the step size of the grid. We therefore suggest using a relatively fine grid, e.g., between 1 cM and 2 cM. The analysis is simplified by pretending that every point on the grid is a turning point. To see this, assume that
1,
2, and
3 are three successive positions on the chromosome and that T(
) is monotonically increasing in the interval (
1,
3) so that
2 is not a turning point. Due to the monotonic increase of T(
) we have

It is clear from this result that by pretending that every point on the grid is a turning point, application of (2) will yield the correct result (to the accuracy of the grid), even though only a fraction of points will correspond to real turning points. Thus, to compute V, we simply compute the absolute differences between successive square roots of T(
) on the grid and sum these across the chromosome.
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) scans across a range of widely differing hypotheses and then values of T(
) might tend to be independent for separated values of
. This matches the situation of a scan across a whole chromosome, where tests >50 cM apart are virtually independent. He further conjectured that in this case the law of large numbers applies so that V gives a good estimate of
. His simulations confirmed this conjecture. From this we expect the approximation to work well for QTL mapping. A small-scale simulation is performed to check the appropriateness of the approximation.
Controlling the genome-wise error rate in IM:
To guarantee a genome-wise type I error rate, ![]()
for each chromosome, using the formula
i = 1 - (1 -
)
, where
i is the chromosome-wise error rate for the ith chromosome. This allocation assumes that test statistics for different chromosomes are stochastically independent, which they are not, since the same phenotypic data are used for all chromosomes. The effect of dependence will usually be small, but, nevertheless, we prefer to use the Bonferroni inequality (see below), which is guaranteed to control
, even when the test statistics are dependent.
A problem for the practitioner is that a separate threshold needs to be used for each chromosome when the same
i is chosen for each chromosome. ![]()
i "could be chosen by a manner which takes into account the relative lengths of all chromosomes." This suggestion is taken up here. To compute an overall type I error
, we use the Bonferroni inequality (![]()
i so that
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(4) |
where n is the number of chromosomes, will ensure that the overall type I error rate is at most
. Inserting the approximation (3) into (4), we find
![]() |
(5) |
where Vi is the value of V for the ith chromosome. Instead of choosing the same
i for each chromosome, we suggest that a common critical value C be used for all chromosomes, while
i may be different on each chromosome. Using a numerical search procedure such as bisection, C is chosen to satisfy (5) for the desired
. The resulting chromosome-wise
i can be inferred from (3), though this is not necessary in practice. Assuming uniform coverage of the genome by markers,
i will be relatively large for longer chromosomes. This seems a perfectly natural allocation of error rates.
Extension to CIM:
In CIM, cofactors are used to reduce residual variation by controlling for the genetic background (![]()
![]()
![]()
). Thus, as we scan the chromosome, the set of cofactors changes at points bordering the window around the markers used as cofactors. These points correspond to jumps in T(
) (and its first derivative). The method of ![]()
).
A simple solution to this problem is to consider in turn coherent intervals on a chromosome, for which the same set of cofactors is used in the analysis, so that T(
) is continuous within the interval, and to control the interval-wise type I error rate. The genome-wise type I error rate may then be controlled using a Bonferroni adjustment. Thus, the upper bound for the genome-wise type I error rate is estimated as
![]() |
(6) |
where p is the number of coherent intervals having a constant set of cofactors. Note that the summation in the second term on the right-hand side of (6) is over the p coherent intervals. Also, the integration limits in Vi according to (2) are now the borders of the coherent intervals. Thus, for the border of two adjacent intervals, the LR statistic T(
) has to be computed twice, once for each of the two intervals, i.e., once with the set of cofactors for the one interval and once with the set of cofactors for the other interval. IM can be regarded as a limiting case of CIM, in which each chromosome forms a coherent interval with no cofactors, so that p = n, where n is the number of chromosomes. For CIM, we will have p > n. Except when a cofactor is less than half the window size away from one end of the chromosome, each cofactor will increase the number of coherent intervals by two. Otherwise the increase is by one interval. Application of the Bonferroni procedure to combine intervals from the same chromosome will result in a conservative threshold, because the correlation structure among tests in different intervals, but on the same chromosome, is not exploited.
| EXAMPLE |
|---|
We used data from an Oryza sativa x O. rufipogon BC2F2 population evaluated in an upland environment to exemplify the method and compare it to the permutation method. The data were obtained in two experiments, one with rice grown in monoculture and one with rice intercropped with Brachiaria. Details of these experiments are described in ![]()
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|
From the output of QTL Cartographer, we did not have available the value of T(
) at the borders of coherent intervals. Thus, in computing the sum
pi=1Vi in (6), we ignored the discontinuity in T(
) at the borders. The effect of this is a slightly too liberal critical threshold. We set p = n + 2nc in the term p Pr(
2k > C) on the right-hand side of (6), where n is the number of chromosomes and nc is the number of cofactors, which is a conservative choice. The critical LR thresholds for IM and CIM at
= 0.05 as computed by permutation and the quick method are shown in Table 2 and Table 3. The medians across traits are similar for both methods. With IM, the median threshold by the quick method is slightly larger than by permutation, while for CIM the situation is reversed. By both methods the median threshold is larger for CIM than for IM. A 95% confidence limit around the permutation threshold was computed using standard procedures (![]()
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|
|
| SIMULATION |
|---|
We simulated the chromosome-wise type I error
for IM in a BC1 population of 200 individuals under the global H0 of no QTL. Equal spacing of markers along a 100-cM chromosome and absence of interference was assumed. The number of crossovers per chromosome was simulated according to a Poisson distribution with parameter equal to the length of the chromosome in morgans, which is in accordance with Haldane's mapping function. The LR statistic for the null hypothesis of no QTL was computed using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm (![]()
= 0.01 and
= 0.05 anywhere in the genome. For comparison, we also assessed the number of rejections based on thresholds by ![]()
![]()
21), the empirical type I error was on the conservative side.
|
To broaden the scope of the study, simulations were also performed for an F2 population, an advanced backcross population (![]()
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|
| DISCUSSION |
|---|
This work was motivated by the high computational workload of permutations encountered in practical applications. The method advocated here for computing approximate thresholds is fast and easy to use. Implementation into existing packages for QTL mapping should be possible with minimal effort. Simulations have shown that the approximate thresholds provide reasonable, though somewhat conservative, control of the genome-wise type I error rate in a wide variety of population structures. Due to the generality of the method, any population structure can be accommodated. The method is especially useful in more complex designs, where closed form thresholds are not available (advanced backcross, advanced intercross lines, etc.). The rice example has demonstrated that the quick method yields thresholds similar to those obtained by permutation. The method is reasonably robust to nonnormality, but should probably be used with caution if departure from normality is marked. Approximate thresholds can replace thresholds obtained by permutation if computing time is a limiting factor, e.g., when many traits need to be analyzed. Note that with permutation thresholds, the workload increases drastically as the type I error is reduced, since permutation sample size needs to be increased to attain reasonable accuracy. By contrast, the quick method has the same small workload, regardless of the targeted type I error. In summary I recommend using the quick method preferably in the following situation: (i) a permutation test is computationally too expensive; (ii) approximate normality can be assumed; and (iii) closed form critical thresholds are not readily available.
In this article, we have used the maximum-likelihood method for computing T(
). The method should work equally well with IM and CIM methods on the basis of multiple regression (![]()
![]()
2-distribution conditional on the putative QTL, so that the theory of ![]()
![]()
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![]()
![]()
When errors follow a normal distribution, the permutation procedure and the quick method are expected to yield similar thresholds, provided the null hypothesis is true. An advantage of permutation tests relative to the quick method is that normality of the errors under the null hypothesis need not be assumed. Note, however, that in our small simulation study, DAVIES' (1987) quick method was robust to nonnormality of errors. Also, in simulations by ![]()
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![]()
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occur only at the marker positions, which is implicit from their Equation 10. First, turning points need not occur at the markers. Second, further turning points will occur at local minima and maxima of
between markers. For example, in a BC1 population, a turning point of
occurs whenever the ML estimate of the QTL effect changes sign, corresponding to a local minimum. The omission of turning points may explain the liberal thresholds obtained by ![]()
![]()
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
|---|
I thank Pilar Moncada for providing the output from QTL Cartographer for the rice data. Thanks are also due to Hugh Gauch Jr. for very helpful discussions on the article. This article was written while the author was visiting at the Department of Biometrics, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York. Support of the Heisenberg programme of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft is thankfully acknowledged.
Manuscript received August 26, 1999; Accepted for publication October 6, 2000.
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