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Multiple-Trait Mapping of Quantitative Trait Loci After Selective Genotyping Using Logistic Regression
John M. Henshalla and Michael E. Goddard1,aa Animal Genetics and Breeding Unit, University of New England, Armidale, New South Wales 2351, Australia
Corresponding author: John M. Henshall, Animal Genetics and Breeding Unit, The University of New England, Armidale, NSW 2351, Australia., jhenshal{at}metz.une.edu.au (E-mail)
Communicating editor: C. HALEY
| ABSTRACT |
|---|
Experiments to map QTL usually measure several traits, and not uncommonly genotype only those animals that are extreme for some trait(s). Analysis of selectively genotyped, multiple-trait data presents special problems, and most simple methods lead to biased estimates of the QTL effects. The use of logistic regression to estimate QTL effects is described, where the genotype is treated as the dependent variable and the phenotype as the independent variable. In this way selection on phenotype does not bias the results. If normally distributed errors are assumed, the logistic-regression analysis is almost equivalent to a maximum-likelihood analysis, but can be carried out with standard statistical packages. Analysis of a simulated half-sib experiment shows that logistic regression can estimate the effect and position of a QTL without bias and confirms the increased power achieved by multiple-trait analysis.
EXPERIMENTS to detect and locate quantitative trait loci (QTL) in livestock species are becoming more common, driven by the potential for increased genetic gain in traits of economic importance (e.g., ![]()
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In recent years, the possibility of multiple-trait QTL detection has been considered by a number of researchers (e.g., ![]()
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Another approach often applied in livestock QTL detection experiments is selective genotyping, in which only animals with extreme phenotypes are genotyped (see ![]()
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Most statistical methods currently used for QTL detection, including those mentioned above, make comparisons between the phenotypes of alternate marker genotypes. Alternatively, the marker genotypes of differing phenotypes can be compared (![]()
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In this article, a more general trait-based method is presented. The method is suited to half-sib data and addresses the problems that arise with multiple-trait QTL detection on selectively genotyped data. Results comparable with those obtained with maximum likelihood on the full dataset can be achieved, using software in standard statistical packages. The method is regression based, but instead of regressing phenotype on genotype, the regression is genotype on phenotype. This replaces the assumption that the phenotypes are unselected with the assumption that there was no selection based on genotype. This assumption is easily satisfied by including all genotyped animals in the analysis. With half-sib experiments, in treating genotype as the response, the response variable is binary. Methods for analyzing binary data are well understood (e.g., ![]()
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| STATISTICAL METHODS |
|---|
Single trait, no recombination model:
In the first case considered, it is assumed that there is no recombination between the genotyped locus and the locus affecting the quantitative trait. This would apply when testing for an effect from a candidate gene. A single-sire, half-sib design will be assumed, with no genotypes available on the dams. Let the QTL have two alleles, Q and q, and the genotypic marker have two alleles, M and m. The model can be written as

where yi is the phenotypic value for offspring i (adjusted for any contemporary group effects), µ is a sire mean, si is an indicator variable taking values of minus one if QTL allele q was inherited from the sire or the value of one if QTL allele Q was inherited from the sire,
is the allele substitution effect, and ei is a random error term, which includes environmental variance, a genetic effect due to the QTL allele inherited from the dam, and a polygenic effect. The polygenic effect consists of deviation from the sire mean due to Mendelian sampling (0.25 additive genetic variance) and an effect due to the dam (0.5 additive genetic variance). In this model, the indicator variable si can be observed.
If we assume the ei has a normal distribution with variance
2e, then the distribution of phenotypes is a mixture of two normal distributions, with means (µ -
) and (µ +
), and common variance
2e. Let these distributions be labeled f- and f+. Let Zi be a random variable that takes the value one if allele M (= Q, because no recombination) was inherited, and zero if allele m (= q) was inherited by offspring i, and let the probability that (Zi = 1) = pi and the probability that (Zi = 0) = (1 - pi). Then
![]() |
(1) |
![]() |
(2) |
This is the logistic model, with asymptotes zero and one. We can write

or

where a = -
and
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(3) |
We can estimate a and b with standard logistic-regression software using Z as the response variable and Y as the explanatory variable. Here, for each animal, Zi is the number of "successes" from one trial if success is inheriting allele M. A software package that allows single observations and a continuous explanatory variable should be chosen, to avoid having to group observations into classes based on phenotype.
The total variance,
2, is composed of
2e and the variance due to the sire QTL allele
2. We have
![]() |
(4) |
Given an estimate of b and an estimate of
2 from all of the data, we can solve (3) and (4) for
and
2e to obtain

It is important that the estimate of
2 be from all of the data, not from a selected sample.
Figure 1 contains an example of the function p, where the sire QTL allele accounts for 20% of the total variance. The underlying normal distributions are also shown. The parameter b is related to the "slope," and it is our estimate of b that allows us to estimate the magnitude of the QTL. For the mixture distribution in Figure 1, selecting the upper and lower 5% of observations would exclude records with phenotypes between -2 and 2. For phenotypes of ±2, the ratio of allele frequencies is around 0.1:0.9, and the shape of the curve p between -2 and 2 can be interpolated reasonably well even without observations in this region. If more extreme selection were applied, or if the QTL effect were larger, then the ratio of allele frequencies at the truncation points might approach 0.0:1.0. Then the shape of the curve between the truncation points could not be reliably interpolated. Selection on the basis of phenotype, as in selective genotyping, will reduce the precision with which we estimate b (and therefore
) compared with genotyping the whole sample, the degree by which the precision is reduced being a function of the percentage of records genotyped and the size of the QTL effect.
|
To be useful in QTL detection, a measure of how well the model fits the data as well as estimates of the parameters is required. Standard logistic regression software generally provides a log-likelihood ratio test for whether
is significantly different from zero. As b =
, this is equivalent to testing the hypothesis that
= 0, so these tests may be used to draw conclusions about the significance of
.
Multiple-trait, no recombination model:
The methods described above are easily extended to the situation where phenotypes are available on more than one trait. Let f1 and f2 in Equation 1 be multivariate normal distributions. If the sire mean is a vector µ, and the vector of half the average sire allele effects A, then the mean of animals in distribution f1 will be µ1 = µ + A, and the mean of animals in distribution f2 will be µ2 = µ - A. If the covariance matrix estimated from the data is
, and the covariance matrix within sire QTL genotype is V, then
= V + AA'. As in the single-trait model, V will contain both genetic and nongenetic components. Then,

so

Multivariate logistic regression packages estimate ß, where

so, ignoring the intercept in Y'ß,

or Vß = 2A. Combining this with
= V + AA' we get
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(5) |
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(6) |
![]() |
(7) |

So, using multivariate logistic-regression software, we can estimate the vector ß, and using an estimate of
from the complete experimental data, we can simultaneously estimate multiple-trait QTL effects. Again, any selective genotyping carried out is selection on the explanatory variable(s), and, while it may reduce the precision of the estimates, it should not cause systematic bias.
Recombination model:
Both the single- and multiple-trait methods described above assume that there is no recombination between the genotyped locus and the locus affecting the quantitative trait. In QTL detection experiments using markers, this assumption cannot be made. The indicator variable si is now unobservable. If we consider a single marker with a recombination rate r with the QTL, the multivariate logistic model becomes
![]() |
(8) |
A more common use of this model is where an estimate of
is required, given a map position relative to a number of markers, as in interval mapping. A method is therefore required to summarize the information from multiple markers into a form that can be used in Equation 8, in which we require a vector p and an associated vector r. As for maximum-likelihood methods, we can calculate the probability that animal i inherited the sire allele Q, on the basis of the observed marker transmission, the recombination rates between the postulated locus and the markers, and the assumed mapping function. Let this probability be qi. Although qi was estimated from multiple markers, we can proceed as if it had been estimated from a single marker and recover a value pi, which will be either zero or one, and a value ri, which will be <0.5. As

and as r < 0.5, we can write

There are several numerical methods that can be used to estimate ß given vectors p and r. In testing, both fitting Equation 8 using nonlinear least squares and iteratively maximizing the likelihood of Equation 8 appeared to work well with a single trait. However, as the focus of this article is on using standard statistical software for multiple-trait analysis, an approximate method of interval mapping is described. There are two parts to the problem, the estimation of ß and the evaluation of the log-likelihood ratio statistic. We have already shown how to estimate ß at the markers, and provided that the markers are not too far apart, simple interpolation will provide sufficiently accurate estimates between the markers. Given an estimate of ß, the evaluation of the log-likelihood is straightforward. For the logistic model, the log-likelihood takes the form
![]() |
(9) |
. Then, (9) can be evaluated using p and
as the observed and expected frequencies. If the interpolated estimate of ß is to be used to estimate the QTL effect, then an adjustment for recombination between the markers and the QTL will be required. | RESULTS OF SIMULATION STUDIES |
|---|
To compare the logistic-regression method to alternative methods and to generally examine its performance, various simulation studies were carried out. Phenotypic values were generated by adding randomly generated error terms to genotypic values. In all cases, a half-sib design was simulated with phenotypes available on 1000 half-sibs. All simulations were repeated 100 times, and mean estimates and significance levels were calculated.
Single trait, no recombination:
A sire QTL effect and an error term were simulated, with the sire allele accounting for 0, 1, 4, and 25% of the total phenotypic variance. As the total phenotypic variance was 1.0, the magnitudes of the sire allele effects were 0.0, 0.1, 0.2, and 0.5. Three levels of selective genotyping were tested, with genotypes available on all animals (i.e., no selective genotyping), on 50% of animals, and on 10% of animals. Where selective genotyping was applied, genotypes for the animals with the highest and lowest phenotypes were made available.
The allele effect (
) was estimated with logistic regression (LR), with maximum likelihood (ML), and with the methods of ![]()
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2), which is required to estimate
. For the ML analysis, the log-likelihood was maximized numerically using NAG subroutine E04JAF (![]()
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(10) |
Three models were used to simulate the data. In the first model, the error term was normally distributed, and the selective genotyping was the only selection applied to the data. This would be the case if all markers were fully informative. This resulted in truncation selection, with equal proportions informative in each tail. Table 1 summarizes the results obtained. All four methods provide similar estimates and standard errors when QTL effects are small. It is only when the QTL effect is large that differences are observed between the methods. For a QTL effect of 0.5, with selective genotyping, methods DS and MG underestimate the QTL effect, and methods LR and ML overestimate the QTL effect.
|
To test the performance of the methods when the error is not normally distributed, errors were simulated from other distributions in the second model. Two distributions were used: a mixture distribution, composed of two normal distributions, with the difference in means responsible for a variance of 0.5, and a
2-distribution with 4 d.f., scaled to produce a total variance of 1.0. These are similar to the distributions used by other researchers (e.g., ![]()
2-error produces a skewed distribution of phenotypes.
Table 2 contains the results for sire QTL allele effects of 0.1 and 0.2 and one result for a sire QTL allele effect of 0.5. When genotype records were available on all animals, the nonnormal error had little effect on the estimates of the QTL effect. With selective genotyping however, all methods had difficulties in estimating the QTL effect. When the error was from the mixture distribution, method DS produced estimates of QTL effect closest to those simulated, with little difference between the mean estimates produced by methods MG, LG, and ML. When the error term was simulated from the
2-distribution, the effect of reducing the number of genotype records available appeared to be nonlinear. Genotyping most animals, or small QTL effects, resulted in overestimation of the QTL effect, while genotyping less animals, or large QTL effects, resulted in underestimation of the QTL effect. This pattern was consistent for all of the methods, with methods DS and LR requiring greater selection, or larger QTL effects, before the underestimation occurred.
|
Another departure from the model assumed by the estimation methods is when the selection is not truncation selection with fixed proportions of animals with genotype records in each tail. This might occur when the marker allele inherited from the sire cannot be determined for some animals, as occurs when the marker genotype of the animal is the same as that of the sire, with no genotype available for the dam. If one of the sire's marker alleles is at a high frequency in the dam population, then one of the sire's marker alleles will be identified more often in the offspring than the other. The effect of this was tested in the third model, with 50% of genotyped markers assumed to be uninformative, but with one sire allele informative 90% of the time and the other sire allele informative only 10% of the time.
The DS method was not applied to this model because it requires the assumption of known, equal, selected proportions. Results from application of the MG method to data in which all animals were genotyped, are presented for the equation that assumed selection, as it performed better than the equation that did not assume selection. Table 3 contains the results obtained for methods MG, LR, and ML. All of the methods tested have problems with this model. Method MG underestimates the QTL effect, except when the proportion selected is ~50%. For simulated values of
of 0.2 and 0.5, method LR overestimates the QTL effect when only 10% of animals are genotyped. These overestimates are accompanied by relatively high standard errors. Method ML overestimated the allele effect. This was less apparent when selective genotyping was applied.
|
Multiple trait, no recombination:
A bivariate analysis was performed, where the two traits had covariance matrix

within QTL genotype. Vectors of QTL effects A = [0.3, 0.3]', A = [0.3, 0.0]', and A = [0.0, 0.3]' were simulated, with either all animals genotyped, or 10% selective genotyping on the first trait. It was assumed that there was no recombination between the QTL and a marker, with all markers informative. Both single-trait and multiple-trait logistic-regression analyses were carried out, using SAS procedure LOGISTIC. The multiple-trait MG methods and methods of ![]()
|
When all animals are genotyped, there is no difference between the allele effect estimates produced using single- or multiple-trait analysis, and the MG and LR multiple-trait methods produce identical results. When selective genotyping is applied, the single-trait analysis produces good estimates of
1, the effect on the trait used to select animals for genotyping, but biased estimates of
2, the effect on the correlated trait. The estimates of QTL effect from the multiple-trait methods are much less biased than the single-trait analysis estimates, with the estimates from the LR method less biased than the estimates from the MG and BS methods. For smaller QTL effects there were no differences between the results produced by the multiple-trait methods (results not shown).
Single trait, recombination:
Markers and the QTL were simulated in the order

where M1, M2, and M3 are markers, and Q is the QTL. r1, r2, and r3 are recombination rates, taking the values 0.1, 0.03, and 0.07, respectively. All markers were fully informative. The total phenotypic variance was 1.0, and
was 0.1, so 1% of the total variance was explained by the sire QTL allele.
Interval mapping was carried out, using both ML and LR. For the ML analysis, the likelihood was maximized numerically using NAG subroutine E04JAF. The likelihood used was again (10), but with qi calculated from the observed marker transmission for the nearest flanking markers and the locus being mapped. Haldane's mapping function was assumed. SAS procedure LOGISTIC was used to obtain the LR estimates of a and b at the markers and the log-likelihood ratio statistic between the markers calculated from interpolated values of a and b.
Figure 2 contains the log-likelihood ratio profiles obtained. When 100% of animals were genotyped, at the markers, there is almost no difference between the log-likelihood statistics produced by the two methods. Between the markers, the LR profile is slightly lower than that produced by ML. In addition to the ML and LR analyses, the data were analyzed using the regression method of ![]()
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|
Multiple trait, recombination:
The marker and QTL locations simulated in the single-trait analysis were used for a bivariate analysis. The two traits had covariance matrix

within QTL genotype. A vector of QTL effects A = [0.1, 0.1]' was simulated, with 10% selective genotyping on the first trait. LR analyses were carried out, using SAS procedure LOGISTIC to estimate ß at the markers, and with estimates between the markers interpolated. These estimates were then used to calculate the log-likelihood ratio statistic. Single-trait analyses on the two traits were carried out for comparison. Figure 3 plots the mean log-likelihood ratio profiles obtained. The log-likelihood ratio for the second trait is lower than for the first trait, on which the selective genotyping was based, reflecting the loss of power because of selective genotyping on a correlated trait. As in other results reported in the literature, the log-likelihood profile for the multiple-trait analysis is higher than for the single-trait analysis. It must be noted that more degrees of freedom are used in fitting the multiple-trait model.
|
| DISCUSSION |
|---|
It has been shown in this article that in half-sib families, multiple-trait QTL detection is a simple matter of performing multivariate logistic regression. As no assumptions are made regarding selection among phenotypes, the method is useful for selectively genotyped data as well as for experiments where genotypes are known for all animals.
All methods for estimating QTL effects with missing genotype information require assumptions regarding the distribution of phenotypes within QTL genotype classes. The methods considered in this study all assumed normal distributions for phenotypes, and when the data were simulated according to this assumption, with equal proportions genotyped in each phenotypic tail, differences between the results produced by the methods were minor. The exception to this was when a large QTL was segregating and a small percentage of animals were genotyped. It is under these conditions that the assumptions regarding the distributions of phenotype within unknown genotype become most critical. However, although there is little power for any method to accurately estimate such a QTL effect, in practice this is not a major problem. A more important problem is that most QTL effects are too small to be significant. The situation with very large QTL is that we can tell that they are big, but we can't tell how big.
The robustness of the methods to departure from normal error is of interest. The performance of the methods appears to depend heavily on the distribution of the error, the percentage of animals genotyped, and the relative size of the QTL. When error was generated from a mixture distribution, the DS method produced less bias due to selective genotyping, but with a
2-error the MG method and the ML method produced less bias. However, this was only the case for small QTL effects; for larger QTL effects the LR method produced less bias with high levels of selection. It appears that no method is "best" for all circumstances, but all perform reasonably well provided that at least 50% of animals are genotyped. If the data suggest that the distribution of phenotypes is not normal, then the use of data transformations might be considered.
If the selection is not simple truncation selection based on phenotype, then methods such as DS become difficult to implement, because of their use of the expected mean of a truncated distribution. The MG method can be applied to this type of data, but the estimates produced appear to be biased, even when all animals are genotyped. The LR method produces acceptable estimates of QTL effect except when QTL effects are large or selection extreme. The performance of the ML method for this type of data was unsatisfactory. With all animals genotyped the QTL effect was overestimated even for small QTL, but with less genotypic information available the estimates improved. This may be due to the ratio of QTL genotypes among the animals of unknown genotype. In the likelihood function used in the simulations (Equation 10), when genotype was unknown, a value of 0.5 was coded for the probability of inheriting each of the sire's QTL alleles, implying equal probability of either genotype. With all animals genotyped, almost all of the animals with unknown genotype carry the same QTL allele, but, when only some animals are genotyped, the distribution of QTL alleles in the animals of unknown genotype is more balanced. Probabilities for noninformative markers based on the allele frequencies in the dam population could be assigned to alleviate this problem; the other methods might also benefit from such data preparation.
The DS and MG methods estimate QTL effects as functions of means and variances of the data. As such they are quickly and easily computed. However, the cost of this computational simplicity is reduced generality. The DS method requires simple truncation selection. Two single-trait equations are provided to estimate QTL effects by the MG method, one applicable when all genotypes are available and one applicable when selection has taken place. When the selection is based on other than phenotype, as with noninformative marker information, it is not obvious which equation should be applied.
The LR method has more in common with the ML method computationally. In practice, the LR procedures in statistical packages may use ML to fit the logistic curve to the data. Alternatively another iterative method, such as weighted least squares, may be used. Therefore there may not be much advantage in computing time to using LR. However, LR is a common statistical procedure, and the algorithms for LR in the major statistical packages should be highly optimized. The major advantage of the LR method over ML is the availability and ease of use of appropriate software. For example, the commands required to estimate ß and the log-likelihood for a two-trait model with SAS procedure LOGISTIC (![]()

where Q is the marker genotype, coded 0 or 1, n is the number of trials for each observation (= 1), and Y and Z are the phenotype records. Additional traits are easily added. This is in contrast to the complexities of maximizing multiple-trait likelihood functions.
LR can be used for any experimental design producing markers relating to a mixture of two normal distributions. This would include backcross designs, where the difference between animals heterozygous for the QTL and animals homozygous for the QTL can be estimated, and granddaughter designs, which are essentially half-sib designs with repeated records. Where the genotyped animals are the F2 generation resulting from a cross between inbred lines, ML methods estimate effects for the two classes of homozygous animals and a dominance effect. As LR is a method for binary data, it is not possible to fit the full model for this type of data directly. However, it should be possible to estimate the differences between two QTL classes, for example, the difference between the homozygous classes or the difference between heterozygous animals and one homozygous class. In this case weights should be used, proportional to the probability that the animal has one of the QTL genotypes under consideration.
As with ML interval mapping, it is desirable to account for both linked and unlinked QTL in estimating QTL effects and locations. Iterative methods, such as that of ![]()
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The results of the simulation studies presented here are no different from those of earlier studies. ![]()
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| FOOTNOTES |
|---|
1 Present address: Institute of Land and Food Resources, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, 3052 Australia. ![]()
2 Animal Genetics and Breeding Unit (AGBU) is a joint institute of New South Wales Agriculture and The University of New England. ![]()
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
|---|
J. Henshall was in receipt of a supplementary stipend from the Cooperative Research Centre for Cattle and Beef Industry (Meat Quality) while undertaking this work.
Manuscript received April 14, 1998; Accepted for publication October 30, 1998.
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