Originally published as Genetics Published Articles Ahead of Print on August 3, 2006.

Genetics, Vol. 174, 795-803, October 2006, Copyright © 2006
doi:10.1534/genetics.106.057273

Marker-Based Prediction of the Parental Genome Contribution to Inbred Lines Derived From Biparental Crosses

Institute of Plant Breeding, Seed Science and Population Genetics, University of Hohenheim, 70593 Stuttgart, Germany

1 Corresponding author: Institute of Plant Breeding, Seed Science, and Population Genetics, University of Hohenheim, 70593 Stuttgart, Germany. 
E-mail: melchinger{at}uni-hohenheim.de

Molecular markers can be employed to predict the parental genome contribution to inbred lines. The proportion {alpha} of alleles originating from parent P1 at markers polymorphic between the parental lines P1 and P2 is commonly used as a predictor for the genome contribution of parent P1 to an offspring line. Our objectives were to develop a new marker-based predictor {xi} for the parental genome contribution, which takes into account not only the alleles at marker loci but also their map distance, and to compare the prediction precision of {xi} with that of alternative methods. We derived formulas for {xi} for inbreds derived from biparental crosses (F1 and backcrosses) with the single-seed descent or double-haploid method and presented an extension {xi}* possessing statistical optimum properties. In a simulation study, {alpha} showed a systematic overestimation of large parental genome contribution that was not observed for {xi}. The mean squared prediction error of {xi} was at least 50% smaller than that of {alpha} for linkage maps with unequal distances between adjacent markers. A data set from a study on plant variety protection in maize was used to illustrate the application of {xi}. We conclude that {xi} provides substantially greater prediction precision than the commonly used predictor {alpha} in a broad range of applications in genetics and breeding.




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